Ormat Technologies · Utilities
ORA
$104.70
Ormat Technologies, Inc. is an international company based in Reno, Nevada, United States.OrmatTechnologies,Inc.是一家国际公司,总部位于美国内华达州里诺市。
Distressed困境股
Mid cap中盘
$6B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望,直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$104.70
27.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 27.8%
Market Cap市值
$6B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
50.2x
22.6x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.82
Moves about 0.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
30
Oversold超卖区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-05 (17d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
76th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
8.5% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | ORA | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -4.6% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 3.1 points落后指数 3.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -17.0% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 17.6 points落后指数 17.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -7.3% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 12.0 points落后指数 12.0 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -11.1% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 18.9 points落后指数 18.9 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -7.8% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 16.9 points落后指数 16.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +19.1% | +19.4% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +27.7% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 41.7 points落后指数 41.7 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI(14)
30
Oversold超卖区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-16.7% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-9.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
76th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$104.70
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期
Earnings财务业绩
17
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-05
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: +13.2% (20d)财报后漂移:+13.2%(20日)
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | ORA | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) | 50.17x | 22.58 | 2% |
| P/B市净率 | 2.50x | 2.06 | 20% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.99% | 4.41 | 6% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | -4.47% | -2.94 | 38% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.46% | 2.81 | 7% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 19.26x | 12.72 | 6% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 7.0%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 4.1%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
5.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
2.0%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 5.45 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.81 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM) | $0 |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $19.4M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年) | +0.6% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.5)
Warning警示
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 16% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 16% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.82×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/9
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$6.7M net (0 buyers, 6 sellers)-$6.7M 净值(0 买家,6 卖家)
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soros Fund Management | B | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
DECLINE
DOWNTREND
Jul 14, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 13, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 13, 2026
ORA RSI reached oversoldORA RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $106.81.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$106.81。
Jul 7, 2026
ORA StochRSI turned up from oversoldORA StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $110.07.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$110.07。
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 29, 2026
ORA lost its 200-day averageORA 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $110.47.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$110.47。
Jun 29, 2026
ORA broke down vs the marketORA 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $110.47.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$110.47。
Jun 29, 2026
ORA RSI reached oversoldORA RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $110.47.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$110.47。
Jun 26, 2026
ORA weekly MACD crossed downORA 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jun 25, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.43
Value价值
-0.2
Profitability盈利能力
-1.5
Quality质量
-0.3
Investment资本投入
-0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.9
Low volatility低波动
+0.4
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.5
Company Profile公司档案
Ormat Technologies, Inc. is an international company based in Reno, Nevada, United States.OrmatTechnologies,Inc.是一家国际公司,总部位于美国内华达州里诺市。
Demand chain:需求链: Contracted bookings (RPO) decelerating (+59% YoY to ~$0B, 0.1× revenue) — signed demand locked in ahead of recognition已签约订单(RPO)增速放缓(同比+59%,约 $0B,覆盖营收 0.1 倍)——已锁定、尚未确认的需求
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Capital intensity rising
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析,覆盖所有标普500成分股。