Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
A normal mid-cycle dip below the 10-day average — the real cycle low isn't due for ~13+ trading days. Wait for support t这是跌破 10 日均线的正常周期中段回调——真正的周期低点要到约 13+ 个交易日后才会到来。等待支撑站稳，或等下一个低点构筑成形。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$40.43
1.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 1.6%
Market Cap市值
$8B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
48.8x
22.6x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.42
Moves about 0.4x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.4 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
55
Neutral zone中性区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
4th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | CWEN-A | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.0% | -2.4% | Beat the index by 2.4 points跑赢指数 2.4 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +0.0% | -2.6% | Beat the index by 2.6 points跑赢指数 2.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +3.9% | +15.0% | Lagged the index by 11.1 points落后指数 11.1 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +30.3% | +5.9% | Beat the index by 24.4 points跑赢指数 24.4 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +27.5% | +7.0% | Beat the index by 20.5 points跑赢指数 20.5 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +38.9% | +20.2% | Beat the index by 18.7 points跑赢指数 18.7 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +75.8% | +73.0% | Beat the index by 2.8 points跑赢指数 2.8 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
55
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+0.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+16.8% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
4th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$39.22
Don't chase above不追高于
$40.43
Stop止损
$40.43
Wait for the pullback等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | CWEN-A | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 48.75x | 22.58 | 4% |
| P/S市销率 | 5.77x | 3.01 | 4% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.05% | 4.41 | 8% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 4.48% | -2.94 | 96% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 19.73x | 12.72 | 4% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 22.33x | 39.80 | 75% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 3.6%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
1.0%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 9.95 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.13 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $4.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.8% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (0.6)
Warning警示
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 27% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 27% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.42×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.4× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.4 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/9
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面
CWEN-A printed a daily-cycle lowCWEN-A 打出日线周期低点
Signal History信号历史
BOTTOM WATCH
NEARING A LOW
Jun 11, 2026
CWEN-A printed a daily-cycle lowCWEN-A 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $40.43.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$40.43。
Jun 11, 2026
CWEN-A StochRSI turned up from oversoldCWEN-A StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $40.43.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$40.43。
May 29, 2026
CWEN-A weekly MACD crossed downCWEN-A 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
May 15, 2026
CWEN-A printed a daily-cycle lowCWEN-A 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $40.43.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$40.43。
May 14, 2026
TOPPING → NEARING A LOW做顶中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
May 11, 2026
CWEN-A daily MACD crossed downCWEN-A 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $40.43.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$40.43。
May 4, 2026
CWEN-A daily MACD crossed upCWEN-A 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $40.43.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$40.43。
Apr 27, 2026
CWEN-A made a new 52-week highCWEN-A 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $41.10.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$41.10。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.33
Value价值
-0.4
Quality质量
-1.2
Investment资本投入
-0.5
Low volatility低波动
+0.8
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.6
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.2
Company Profile公司档案
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Receivables stretch
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。