TXNM TXNM Energy · $57.41 Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势 Terminal终端 ↗

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TXNM Energy · Utilities

TXNM

$57.41
TXNM Energy, Inc. is an energy holding company based in Albuquerque, New Mexico.TXNMEnergy,Inc.是一家能源控股公司，总部位于新墨西哥州阿尔伯克基。
Distressed困境股 Mid cap中盘 $6B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 56.4.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 56.4 下方。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$57.41
3.5% below 52-week high低于52周高点 3.5%
Market Cap市值
$6B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
36.8x
22.6x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.06
Moves about 0.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
52
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-07 (19d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
90th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.9% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 TXNM S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +0.9% -1.5% Beat the index by 2.4 points跑赢指数 2.4 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +1.7% +0.6% Beat the index by 1.1 points跑赢指数 1.1 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -1.9% +4.7% Lagged the index by 6.6 points落后指数 6.6 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -1.6% +7.8% Lagged the index by 9.4 points落后指数 9.4 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -1.4% +9.1% Lagged the index by 10.5 points落后指数 10.5 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +4.2% +19.4% Lagged the index by 15.2 points落后指数 15.2 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +40.2% +69.4% Lagged the index by 29.2 points落后指数 29.2 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 52 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -1.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -0.7% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 90th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$56.97
Don't chase above不追高于
$57.41
Stop止损
$56.40
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望

Earnings财务业绩

19
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-07

Estimates being cut预期下调

Post-earnings drift: -5.5% (20d)财报后漂移：-5.5%（20日）

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 TXNM Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 36.82x 22.58
6%
P/B市净率 1.84x 2.06
61%
P/S市销率 2.89x 3.01
59%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 2.72% 4.41
10%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 -9.78% -2.94
9%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 2.80% 2.81
49%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 12.60x 12.72
51%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$1.5B
2020
$1.8B
2021
$2.2B
2022
$1.9B
2023
$2.0B
2024
$2.2B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 7.3%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$2.15
2020
$2.27
2021
$1.97
2022
$1.02
2023
$2.67
2024
$1.48
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -7.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
-$193.3M
2020
-$387.1M
2021
-$345.3M
2022
-$524.6M
2023
-$738.9M
2024
-$611.4M
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
20.4%
Net margin净利率
7.8%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
27.0%
5.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
1.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA5.84
Current ratio流动比率0.55
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$12.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$8.7M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+17.6%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (0.8) Warning警示

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 37% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 37% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.06×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 TXNM broke down vs the marketTXNM 相对市场走弱

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.1M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.1M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum negative; investor cycle failed (broke its start low)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量为负；投资者周期失败（跌破起始低点））。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 14, 2026
TXNM broke down vs the marketTXNM 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $57.00.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$57.00。
Jul 10, 2026
TXNM daily MACD crossed upTXNM 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $56.87.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$56.87。
Jul 9, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A LOW下跌趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 8, 2026
TXNM RSI reached oversoldTXNM RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $56.40.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$56.40。
Jul 6, 2026
TXNM daily MACD crossed downTXNM 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $56.64.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$56.64。
Jul 2, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A LOW下跌趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 2, 2026
TXNM daily MACD crossed upTXNM 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $56.94.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$56.94。
Jun 29, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 29, 2026
TXNM broke down vs the marketTXNM 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $56.91.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$56.91。
Jun 29, 2026
TXNM daily MACD crossed downTXNM 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $56.91.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$56.91。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 249 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.25
Value价值
-0.0
Quality质量
-0.7
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.3
Low volatility低波动
+2.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.3

Company Profile公司档案

TXNM Energy, Inc. is an energy holding company based in Albuquerque, New Mexico.TXNMEnergy,Inc.是一家能源控股公司，总部位于新墨西哥州阿尔伯克基。
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