CW
Curtiss-Wright
·
$707.84
Strong name · wrong tape — wait for a base强势个股 · 趋势不利 — 等待筑底
Terminal终端 ↗
Curtiss-Wright · Industrials
CW
$707.84
The Curtiss-Wright Corporation is an American manufacturer and services provider headquartered in Davidson, North Carolina, with factories and operations in and outside the United States.柯蒂斯-赖特公司是一家美国制造商和服务提供商，总部位于北卡罗来纳州戴维森，在美国境内外设有工厂和业务。
Cyclical周期股
Large cap大盘
$26B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Strong name · wrong tape — wait for a base强势个股 · 趋势不利 — 等待筑底
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$707.84
10.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 10.7%
Market Cap市值
$26B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
53.9x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.38
Moves about 1.4x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.4 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
37
Depressed偏低
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-05 (17d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
59th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.2% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | CW | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -6.2% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 4.7 points落后指数 4.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -8.9% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 9.5 points落后指数 9.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -3.8% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 8.5 points落后指数 8.5 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +6.7% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 1.1 points落后指数 1.1 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +23.7% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 14.6 points跑赢指数 14.6 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +46.4% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 27.0 points跑赢指数 27.0 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +277.5% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 208.1 points跑赢指数 208.1 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
37
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-4.9% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+7.9% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
59th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$707.80
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期
Earnings财务业绩
17
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-05
Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | CW | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 53.88x | 29.89 | 18% |
| P/B市净率 | 10.30x | 3.90 | 16% |
| P/S市销率 | 7.46x | 2.21 | 6% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.86% | 3.10 | 26% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.12% | 3.81 | 24% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.92% | 2.29 | 44% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 35.18x | 16.39 | 10% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 47.12x | 25.50 | 18% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 7.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 21.8%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
19.1%Return on Equity股本回报率
9.3%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 0.77 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.44 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $464.9M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $21.5M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -2.1% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 8/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (8.2)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 15% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 15% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.38×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.4× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.4 倍
Financial Health财务健康
8/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Defense & Aerospace theme — #39 of 46 themes「国防与航空航天」主题 — 46 个主题中第 39 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
CW broke down vs the marketCW 相对市场走弱
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.87%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±6.41%
Call wall看涨密集区
$790
Put wall看跌密集区
$670
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$736
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-4.6%
Flow资金流向
$2M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 10 fresh positions; P/C 2.7; ~leans bearish (direction approx)成交权利金 $2M；0DTE占0%；10个新建仓；看跌看涨比 2.7；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$25.1M net (0 buyers, 7 sellers)-$25.1M 净值（0 买家，7 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polen Capital Management | B | Holding持有 | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
DECLINE
DOWNTREND
Jul 16, 2026
CW broke down vs the marketCW 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $715.64.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$715.64。
Jul 8, 2026
CW daily MACD crossed downCW 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $760.57.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$760.57。
Jul 6, 2026
CW made a new 52-week highCW 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $792.77.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$792.77。
Jul 6, 2026
CW daily MACD crossed upCW 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $792.77.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$792.77。
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 1, 2026
TOPPING → NEARING A LOW做顶中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 1, 2026
CW StochRSI turned up from oversoldCW StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $757.76.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$757.76。
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A LOW → TOPPING接近低点 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jun 26, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 26, 2026
CW daily MACD crossed downCW 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $747.27.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$747.27。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 272 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.16
Value价值
-0.9
Profitability盈利能力
-0.4
Quality质量
+0.3
Investment资本投入
+0.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.5
Low volatility低波动
+0.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.7
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.0
Company Profile公司档案
The Curtiss-Wright Corporation is an American manufacturer and services provider headquartered in Davidson, North Carolina, with factories and operations in and outside the United States.柯蒂斯-赖特公司是一家美国制造商和服务提供商，总部位于北卡罗来纳州戴维森，在美国境内外设有工厂和业务。
Demand chain:需求链： Contracted bookings (RPO) accelerating (+21% YoY to ~$4B, 1.2× revenue) — signed demand locked in ahead of recognition已签约订单（RPO）加速（同比+21%，约 $4B，覆盖营收 1.2 倍）——已锁定、尚未确认的需求
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。