MTCH Match Group · $39.15 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤 Terminal终端
Match Group · Comm. Services

MTCH

$39.15
Match Group, Inc. is an American internet and technology company headquartered in Dallas, Texas.MatchGroup,Inc.是一家总部位于德克萨斯州达拉斯的美国互联网和科技公司。
Distressed困境股 Mid cap中盘 $9B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成,目前价格已拉伸(动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下)。不要追高;等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$39.15
2.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 2.8%
Market Cap市值
$9B
Normal volume正常成交量
Beta贝塔
1.00
Moves about 1.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
58
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
83th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.4% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 MTCH S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +0.8% -1.5% Beat the index by 2.3 points跑赢指数 2.3 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +11.5% +0.6% Beat the index by 10.9 points跑赢指数 10.9 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +10.3% +4.7% Beat the index by 5.6 points跑赢指数 5.6 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +25.7% +7.8% Beat the index by 17.9 points跑赢指数 17.9 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +24.8% +9.1% Beat the index by 15.7 points跑赢指数 15.7 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +23.2% +19.4% Beat the index by 3.8 points跑赢指数 3.8 个百分点
3 Years近3年 -15.4% +69.4% Lagged the index by 84.8 points落后指数 84.8 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 58 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +7.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +17.6% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 83th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$38.33
Don't chase above不追高于
$39.15
Stop止损
$34.39
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 MTCH Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/S市销率 2.61x 1.75
28%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 11.24% 5.94
75%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 8.66% 4.02
91%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 12.82x 11.71
40%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 8.89x 11.84
67%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$2.4B
2020
$3.0B
2021
$3.2B
2022
$3.4B
2023
$3.5B
2024
$3.5B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 7.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$0.49
2020
$0.93
2021
$1.24
2022
$2.26
2023
$2.02
2024
$2.38
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 37.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$746.2M
2020
$832.5M
2021
$476.6M
2022
$829.4M
2023
$882.1M
2024
$1.0B
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
25.0%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
31.0%
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA3.13
Current ratio流动比率1.42
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$788.8M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$258.2M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)-7.5%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 8/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (0.8) Warning警示

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 48% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 48% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.00×
0.2
Moves about 1.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
Financial Health财务健康
8/9
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +18.4%空头仓位变动 +18.4%
Technical技术面 BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$1.3M net (1 buyers, 1 sellers)-$1.3M 净值(1 买家,1 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Starboard Value B Holding持有 7.7% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~24 day(s) ago @ 34.39) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发(摆动低点出现、动量转向上行),但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点(约 24 天前形成 @ 34.39)且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认:在垂直拉升之后,只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发,因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高,而非新的买入
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 15, 2026
MTCH took relative-strength leadershipMTCH 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $40.11.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$40.11。
Jul 15, 2026
MTCH made a new 52-week highMTCH 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $40.11.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$40.11。
Jul 13, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 9, 2026
MTCH took relative-strength leadershipMTCH 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $39.32.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$39.32。
Jul 9, 2026
MTCH made a new 52-week highMTCH 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $39.32.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$39.32。
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 7, 2026
MTCH took relative-strength leadershipMTCH 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $39.18.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$39.18。
Jul 7, 2026
MTCH made a new 52-week highMTCH 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $39.18.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$39.18。
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条,共 253 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.40
Value价值
-1.1
Quality质量
-3.0
Investment资本投入
+0.5
Shareholder payout股东回报
+1.2
Low volatility低波动
+0.4
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.5

Company Profile公司档案

Match Group, Inc. is an American internet and technology company headquartered in Dallas, Texas.MatchGroup,Inc.是一家总部位于德克萨斯州达拉斯的美国互联网和科技公司。
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析,覆盖所有标普500成分股。