IRDM
Iridium Communications
·
$46.68
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Terminal终端 ↗
Iridium Communications · Comm. Services
IRDM
$46.68
Iridium Communications Inc. is a publicly traded American company headquartered in McLean, Virginia, United States.IridiumCommunicationsInc.是一家美国上市公司，总部位于美国弗吉尼亚州麦克莱恩。
High-beta momentum高贝塔动量
Mid cap中盘
$5B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Setup almost complete — likely buy trigger in ~1–3 trading days if it closes back above its 10-day average.形态接近完成——若收盘重新站上 10 日均线，预计将在约 1–3 个交易日内出现买入触发。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$46.68
16.2% below 52-week high低于52周高点 16.2%
Market Cap市值
$5B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
42.8x
34.1x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.33
Moves about 1.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
46
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-23 (4d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
85th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.2% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | IRDM | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -6.8% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 5.3 points落后指数 5.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +3.6% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 3.0 points跑赢指数 3.0 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +11.5% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 6.8 points跑赢指数 6.8 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +146.7% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 138.9 points跑赢指数 138.9 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +164.4% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 155.3 points跑赢指数 155.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +48.7% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 29.3 points跑赢指数 29.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -17.1% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 86.5 points落后指数 86.5 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
46
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-0.7% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+62.3% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
85th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$45.50
Don't chase above不追高于
$47.62
Stop止损
$41.84
Buy soon — on confirmation即将买入 — 待确认
Earnings财务业绩
4
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-23
Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: +13.5% (20d)财报后漂移：+13.5%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | IRDM | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 42.84x | 34.11 | 35% |
| P/B市净率 | 10.59x | 2.64 | 14% |
| P/S市销率 | 5.62x | 1.75 | 16% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.33% | 2.33 | 52% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 6.12% | 5.94 | 54% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 5.09% | 4.02 | 59% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 14.71x | 11.71 | 32% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 16.34x | 11.84 | 43% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 8.4%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
24.7%Return on Equity股本回报率
4.5%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 3.73 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.48 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $186.5M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $51.6M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -4.9% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/7
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (1.9)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 30% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 30% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.33×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.3× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/7
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Space Economy theme — #40 of 46 themes「太空经济」主题 — 46 个主题中第 40 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -54.0%空头仓位变动 -54.0%
Technical技术面
NEARING A LOW → TOPPING接近低点 → 做顶中
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.21%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.95%
Call wall看涨密集区
$60
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
9.8%
Skew: 偏斜：greed
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: +$0.3M net (2 buyers, 1 sellers)+$0.3M 净值（2 买家，1 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A LOW → TOPPING接近低点 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jul 13, 2026
IRDM daily MACD crossed downIRDM 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $48.59.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$48.59。
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 253 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.14
Value价值
-0.8
Quality质量
+1.0
Investment资本投入
+0.8
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.3
Low volatility低波动
-2.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.7
Earnings quality盈利质量
+1.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.2
Company Profile公司档案
Iridium Communications Inc. is a publicly traded American company headquartered in McLean, Virginia, United States.IridiumCommunicationsInc.是一家美国上市公司，总部位于美国弗吉尼亚州麦克莱恩。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
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