Telephone and Data Systems, Inc. · Comm. Services
TDS
$34.32
Telephone and Data Systems, Inc.电话与数据系统公司
Distressed困境股
Mid cap中盘
$4B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Avoid — downtrend回避 — 下行趋势
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$34.32
27.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 27.7%
Market Cap市值
$4B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
192.9x
34.1x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.52
Moves about 0.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
31
Depressed偏低
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-10 (22d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
67th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.4% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | TDS | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.5% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 2.0 points跑赢指数 2.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -12.9% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 13.5 points落后指数 13.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -25.0% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 29.7 points落后指数 29.7 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -23.2% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 31.0 points落后指数 31.0 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -16.2% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 25.3 points落后指数 25.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -8.5% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 27.9 points落后指数 27.9 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +367.4% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 298.0 points跑赢指数 298.0 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
31
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-11.9% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-16.6% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
67th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$33.39
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期
Earnings财务业绩
22
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-10
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | TDS | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 192.92x | 34.11 | 5% |
| P/B市净率 | 0.81x | 2.64 | 86% |
| P/S市销率 | 3.18x | 1.75 | 24% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 0.52% | 2.33 | 28% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 5.11% | 5.94 | 42% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 2.77% | 4.02 | 36% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 15.24x | 11.71 | 24% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 19.59x | 11.84 | 29% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -25.1%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
0.4%Return on Equity股本回报率
0.2%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -3.72 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.10 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $27.2M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -0.5% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/7
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.1)
Warning警示
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 36% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 36% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.52×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.5× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/7
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
TDS StochRSI turned up from oversoldTDS StochRSI自超卖区上行
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.9M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$0.9M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oaktree Capital Management | B | Adding加仓 | 3.9% | 2026-03-31 |
| Third Point (Loeb) | B | Holding持有 | 13.3% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
DECLINE
DOWNTREND
Jul 15, 2026
TDS StochRSI turned up from oversoldTDS StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $34.08.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$34.08。
Jul 7, 2026
TDS made a new 52-week lowTDS 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $35.24.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$35.24。
Jul 6, 2026
TDS RSI reached oversoldTDS RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $35.35.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$35.35。
Jul 1, 2026
Death cross on TDSTDS 死叉
The 50-day average crossed below the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bearish trend signal. $37.09.50日均线下穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看空趋势信号。$37.09。
Jun 29, 2026
TDS broke down vs the marketTDS 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $37.87.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$37.87。
Jun 26, 2026
TDS StochRSI turned up from oversoldTDS StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $38.45.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$38.45。
Jun 25, 2026
TDS daily MACD crossed downTDS 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $37.24.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$37.24。
Jun 25, 2026
TDS RSI reached oversoldTDS RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $37.24.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$37.24。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 267 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.83
Value价值
+0.9
Quality质量
-0.1
Investment资本投入
+2.8
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.3
Low volatility低波动
+0.8
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.2
Company Profile公司档案
Telephone and Data Systems, Inc.电话与数据系统公司
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。