MP Materials · Materials
MP
$45.24
MP Materials Corp. is an American rare-earth materials company headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.MP材料公司是一家美国稀土材料公司，总部位于内华达州拉斯维加斯。
Speculative / unprofitable投机／未盈利
Mid cap中盘
$8B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Avoid — downtrend回避 — 下行趋势
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$45.24
54.1% below 52-week high低于52周高点 54.1%
Market Cap市值
$8B
Normal volume正常成交量
Beta贝塔
1.93
Moves about 1.9x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.9 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
31
Depressed偏低
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-06 (18d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
6th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
15.1% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | MP | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -13.3% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 11.8 points落后指数 11.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -25.6% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 26.2 points落后指数 26.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -25.8% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 30.5 points落后指数 30.5 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -34.4% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 42.2 points落后指数 42.2 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -17.7% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 26.8 points落后指数 26.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -24.9% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 44.3 points落后指数 44.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +83.2% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 13.8 points跑赢指数 13.8 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
31
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-23.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-25.6% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
6th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$45.24
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期
Earnings财务业绩
18
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-06
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | MP | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/B市净率 | 4.05x | 2.82 | 27% |
| P/S市销率 | 35.75x | 1.64 | 0% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | -1.07% | 2.96 | 19% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | -4.09% | 3.23 | 10% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.00% | 2.70 | 3% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 10.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
-4.3%Return on Equity股本回报率
-2.2%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Current ratio流动比率 | 7.24 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $0 |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $30.2M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +8.7% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 3/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.9)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 12% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 12% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.93×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.9× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.9 倍
Financial Health财务健康
3/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Critical Minerals & Rare Earths theme — #43 of 46 themes「关键矿产与稀土」主题 — 46 个主题中第 43 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
MP made a new 52-week lowMP 创52周新低
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±4.61%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±10.31%
Call wall看涨密集区
$46
Put wall看跌密集区
$45
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.3%
Flow资金流向
$15M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 61 fresh positions; P/C 1.02; ~leans bearish/hedging (direction approx)成交权利金 $15M；0DTE占0%；61个新建仓；看跌看涨比 1.02；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$66.9M net (0 buyers, 3 sellers)-$66.9M 净值（0 买家，3 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soros Fund Management | B | trimtrim | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
DECLINE
DOWNTREND
Jul 16, 2026
MP made a new 52-week lowMP 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $45.46.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$45.46。
Jul 9, 2026
MP StochRSI turned up from oversoldMP StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $51.71.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$51.71。
Jul 2, 2026
Death cross on MPMP 死叉
The 50-day average crossed below the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bearish trend signal. $53.31.50日均线下穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看空趋势信号。$53.31。
Jun 25, 2026
MP broke down vs the marketMP 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $55.62.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$55.62。
Jun 24, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 17, 2026
Golden cross on MPMP 金叉
The 50-day average crossed above the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bullish trend signal. $60.84.50日均线上穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看多趋势信号。$60.84。
Jun 17, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 16, 2026
MP broke down vs the marketMP 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $57.05.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$57.05。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 258 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -1.59
Value价值
-1.0
Quality质量
-0.7
Investment资本投入
-3.0
Shareholder payout股东回报
-1.0
Low volatility低波动
-2.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.5
Earnings quality盈利质量
-1.2
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.4
Company Profile公司档案
MP Materials Corp. is an American rare-earth materials company headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.MP材料公司是一家美国稀土材料公司，总部位于内华达州拉斯维加斯。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Inventory build
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。