Mosaic Company (The) · Materials
MOS
$22.13
The Mosaic Company is an American chemical company based in Tampa, Florida, which mines phosphate, potash, and collects urea used for fertilizer, through various international distribution networks and Mosaic Fertilizantes. It is the largest U.S. producer of potash and phosphate...美盛公司是一家美国化学公司，总部位于佛罗里达州坦帕市，通过多个国际分销网络和MosaicFertilizantes业务开采磷矿、钾盐并收集用于肥料的尿素。它是美国最大的钾盐和磷肥生产商。
Cyclical周期股
Mid cap中盘
$7B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~7 day(s) ago @ 20.65 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's mis日线转向已经完成——低点于约 7 天前形成 @ 20.65，且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认，因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场，而非待触发信号：可在此建半仓，或等待周线转向。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$22.13
38.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 38.7%
Market Cap市值
$7B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
13.0x
28.6x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.72
Moves about 0.7x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
51
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
58th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
9.3% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | MOS | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +2.9% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 4.4 points跑赢指数 4.4 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -1.7% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 2.3 points落后指数 2.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -9.0% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 13.7 points落后指数 13.7 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -14.4% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 22.2 points落后指数 22.2 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -9.9% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 19.0 points落后指数 19.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -35.1% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 54.5 points落后指数 54.5 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
51
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+0.2% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-12.3% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
58th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$21.84
Don't chase above不追高于
$22.37
Stop止损
$20.65
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: -3.6% (20d)财报后漂移：-3.6%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | MOS | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 12.98x | 28.57 | 90% |
| P/B市净率 | 0.58x | 2.82 | 99% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.58x | 1.64 | 83% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 7.70% | 2.96 | 94% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | -7.61% | 3.23 | 3% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 3.99% | 2.70 | 75% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 3.61x | 12.20 | 96% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 6.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -0.6%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
4.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
2.2%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.15 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.32 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $30.7M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.2% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (1.8)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 74% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 74% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.72×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.7× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/8
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Materials (Equal-Weight) theme — #26 of 46 themes「材料（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 26 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +24.5%空头仓位变动 +24.5%
Technical技术面
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.23%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±7.21%
Call wall看涨密集区
$23
Put wall看跌密集区
$20
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$23
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
0.7%
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: +$0.0M net (1 buyers, 0 sellers)+$0.0M 净值（1 买家，0 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 13, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 13, 2026
MOS daily MACD crossed upMOS 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $22.31.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$22.31。
Jul 10, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A HIGH未确认转向 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 10, 2026
MOS StochRSI turned up from oversoldMOS StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $21.51.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$21.51。
Jul 2, 2026
TOPPING → UNCONFIRMED TURN做顶中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A LOW → TOPPING接近低点 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jul 1, 2026
MOS daily MACD crossed downMOS 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $21.30.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$21.30。
Jun 30, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A LOW买入区 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 30, 2026
MOS broke down vs the marketMOS 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $21.19.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$21.19。
Jun 29, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jun 26, 2026
NEARING A LOW → BOTTOMING接近低点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 26, 2026
MOS daily MACD crossed upMOS 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $22.38.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$22.38。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 106 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.05
Value价值
+2.6
Profitability盈利能力
-1.3
Quality质量
-0.6
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.0
Low volatility低波动
-0.4
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.6
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.1
Company Profile公司档案
The Mosaic Company is an American chemical company based in Tampa, Florida, which mines phosphate, potash, and collects urea used for fertilizer, through various international distribution networks and Mosaic Fertilizantes. It is the largest U.S. producer of potash and phosphate...美盛公司是一家美国化学公司，总部位于佛罗里达州坦帕市，通过多个国际分销网络和MosaicFertilizantes业务开采磷矿、钾盐并收集用于肥料的尿素。它是美国最大的钾盐和磷肥生产商。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Inventory build
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