ESI Element Solutions · $37.40 Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利 Terminal终端 ↗

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Element Solutions · Materials

ESI

$37.40
Element Solutions Inc is an American specialty chemicals production corporation listed on the New York Stock Exchange.ElementSolutionsInc是一家在纽约证券交易所上市的美国特种化学品生产公司。
Cyclical周期股 Mid cap中盘 $9B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$37.40
23.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 23.8%
Market Cap市值
$9B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
47.8x
28.6x sector median
Beta贝塔
2.09
Moves about 2.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
37
Depressed偏低
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
97th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
6.1% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 ESI S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -6.1% -1.5% Lagged the index by 4.6 points落后指数 4.6 个百分点
1 Month近1月 -17.3% +0.6% Lagged the index by 17.9 points落后指数 17.9 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -4.0% +4.7% Lagged the index by 8.7 points落后指数 8.7 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +27.4% +7.8% Beat the index by 19.6 points跑赢指数 19.6 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +44.8% +9.1% Beat the index by 35.7 points跑赢指数 35.7 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +53.1% +19.4% Beat the index by 33.7 points跑赢指数 33.7 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +91.5% +69.4% Beat the index by 22.1 points跑赢指数 22.1 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 37 Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -12.2% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +12.7% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 97th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$37.40
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期

Earnings财务业绩

10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29

Estimates being raised — 9 analysts预期上调 — 9 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 ESI Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 47.75x 28.57
12%
P/B市净率 3.41x 2.82
35%
P/S市销率 3.57x 1.64
17%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 2.09% 2.96
35%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 2.50% 3.23
41%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 0.27% 2.70
9%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 20.51x 12.20
12%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 40.03x 25.03
28%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$1.9B
2020
$2.4B
2021
$2.5B
2022
$2.3B
2023
$2.5B
2024
$2.6B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 6.6%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$0.30
2020
$0.82
2021
$0.76
2022
$0.49
2023
$1.01
2024
$0.79
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 21.4%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$247.2M
2020
$279.7M
2021
$248.1M
2022
$280.9M
2023
$293.6M
2024
$227.6M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
42.0%
Operating margin营业利润率
13.4%
Net margin净利率
7.5%
7.1%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA2.05
Current ratio流动比率3.68
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$59.1M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+0.5%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.0) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 23% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 23% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
2.09×
0.21×3×
Moves about 2.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 ESI weekly MACD crossed downESI 周线MACD下穿

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$25.7M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$25.7M 净值（0 买家，5 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID. Failed cycle — price broke below the low that started this cycle, which historically means the larger trend is rolling over (~80% of cases)回避。失败周期——价格跌破了启动本周期的低点，历史上这通常意味着更大的趋势正在掉头向下（约 80% 的情形）
DECLINE DOWNTREND
Jul 10, 2026
ESI weekly MACD crossed downESI 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 9, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 7, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 2, 2026
ESI daily MACD crossed downESI 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $43.64.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$43.64。
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 30, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 261 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.41
Value价值
-0.7
Profitability盈利能力
-0.6
Quality质量
-0.1
Investment资本投入
+0.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
-1.0
Low volatility低波动
-0.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.7
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.2

Company Profile公司档案

Element Solutions Inc is an American specialty chemicals production corporation listed on the New York Stock Exchange.ElementSolutionsInc是一家在纽约证券交易所上市的美国特种化学品生产公司。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Margin compression despite revenue growth
  • Receivables stretch
  • Inventory build
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