MANH Manhattan Associates · $163.19 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤 Terminal终端
Manhattan Associates · Tech

MANH

$163.19
Quality compounder优质复利股 Mid cap中盘 $10B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成,目前价格已拉伸(动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下)。不要追高;等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Open in Terminal打开终端 All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$163.19
28.4% below 52-week high低于52周高点 28.4%
Market Cap市值
$10B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
44.4x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.75
Moves about 0.7x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
68
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-28 (9d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
57th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.8% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 MANH S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +5.4% -1.5% Beat the index by 6.9 points跑赢指数 6.9 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +23.5% +0.6% Beat the index by 22.9 points跑赢指数 22.9 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +23.0% +4.7% Beat the index by 18.3 points跑赢指数 18.3 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -5.8% +7.8% Lagged the index by 13.6 points落后指数 13.6 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -2.4% +9.1% Lagged the index by 11.5 points落后指数 11.5 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -20.0% +19.4% Lagged the index by 39.4 points落后指数 39.4 个百分点
3 Years近3年 -20.6% +69.4% Lagged the index by 90.0 points落后指数 90.0 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 68 Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +13.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +3.8% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 57th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$152.40
Don't chase above不追高于
$163.20
Stop止损
$127.90
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

9
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-28

Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 MANH Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 44.40x 40.17
43%
P/B市净率 31.03x 5.85
6%
P/S市销率 9.03x 4.85
24%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 2.25% 2.19
51%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 3.83% 3.05
61%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 3.23% 2.16
66%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 32.98x 29.30
46%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 26.11x 30.46
57%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$586.4M
2020
$663.6M
2021
$767.1M
2022
$928.7M
2023
$1.0B
2024
$1.1B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 13.0%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$1.36
2020
$1.72
2021
$2.03
2022
$2.82
2023
$3.51
2024
$3.60
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 21.5%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$138.2M
2020
$181.2M
2021
$173.0M
2022
$241.5M
2023
$286.3M
2024
$374.0M
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
25.9%
Net margin净利率
20.3%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
36.0%
69.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
26.2%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-1.15
Current ratio流动比率1.28
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$315.2M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$111.3M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)-1.8%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (14.3) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 36% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 36% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.75×
0.2
Moves about 0.7× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场/成长beta体现,并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 MANH reclaimed its 200-day averageMANH 收复200日均线

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.3M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.3M 净值(0 买家,1 卖家)

Signal History信号历史

UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~15 day(s) ago @ 127.87) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发(摆动低点出现、动量转向上行),但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点(约 15 天前形成 @ 127.87)且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认:在垂直拉升之后,只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发,因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高,而非新的买入。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 16, 2026
MANH reclaimed its 200-day averageMANH 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $163.13.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$163.13。
Jul 16, 2026
MANH took relative-strength leadershipMANH 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $163.13.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$163.13。
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 15, 2026
MANH lost its 200-day averageMANH 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $156.58.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$156.58。
Jul 13, 2026
MANH reclaimed its 200-day averageMANH 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $158.31.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$158.31。
Jul 10, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 9, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 6, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
MANH daily MACD crossed upMANH 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $146.41.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$146.41。

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.29
Value价值
-1.0
Quality质量
+2.9
Investment资本投入
-0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.2
Low volatility低波动
-0.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
+2.8
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.0

Company Profile公司档案

Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Capital intensity rising
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