LFUS Littelfuse · $397.75 Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利 Terminal终端 ↗

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Littelfuse · Tech

LFUS

$397.75
Littelfuse, Inc. is an American electronics manufacturing company headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.力特保险丝公司是一家总部位于伊利诺伊州芝加哥的美国电子制造企业。
Speculative / unprofitable投机／未盈利 Mid cap中盘 $10B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$397.75
18.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 18.7%
Market Cap市值
$10B
Normal volume正常成交量
Beta贝塔
1.72
Moves about 1.7x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.7 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
36
Depressed偏低
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-29 (10d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
71th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.6% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 LFUS S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -4.2% -1.5% Lagged the index by 2.7 points落后指数 2.7 个百分点
1 Month近1月 -14.7% +0.6% Lagged the index by 15.3 points落后指数 15.3 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +2.3% +4.7% Lagged the index by 2.4 points落后指数 2.4 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +34.3% +7.8% Beat the index by 26.5 points跑赢指数 26.5 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +52.1% +9.1% Beat the index by 43.0 points跑赢指数 43.0 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +72.1% +19.4% Beat the index by 52.7 points跑赢指数 52.7 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +32.8% +69.4% Lagged the index by 36.6 points落后指数 36.6 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 36 Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -11.7% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +17.0% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 71th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$397.80
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期

Earnings财务业绩

10
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-29

Estimates being raised — 3 analysts预期上调 — 3 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 LFUS Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/B市净率 4.12x 5.85
60%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 -0.72% 2.19
7%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 3.67% 3.05
59%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 0.28% 2.16
15%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 90.98x 29.30
13%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 27.28x 30.46
55%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$1.4B
2020
$2.1B
2021
$2.5B
2022
$2.4B
2023
$2.2B
2024
$2.4B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 10.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$5.29
2020
$11.38
2021
$14.94
2022
$10.34
2023
$4.00
2024
$-2.89
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$201.8M
2020
$282.8M
2021
$315.4M
2022
$371.2M
2023
$291.7M
2024
$366.1M
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
1.6%
-3.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
-1.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA2.13
Current ratio流动比率2.69
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$27.6M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$27.3M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+1.2%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (5.4) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 44% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 44% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.72×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.7× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.7 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$19.9M net (0 buyers, 9 sellers)-$19.9M 净值（0 买家，9 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Polen Capital Management B New position新建仓 0.0% 2026-03-31
Giverny Capital C Holding持有 1.0% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID. Failed cycle — price broke below the low that started this cycle, which historically means the larger trend is rolling over (~80% of cases)回避。失败周期——价格跌破了启动本周期的低点，历史上这通常意味着更大的趋势正在掉头向下（约 80% 的情形）
DECLINE DOWNTREND
Jul 15, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 14, 2026
LFUS StochRSI turned up from oversoldLFUS StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $416.31.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$416.31。
Jul 3, 2026
LFUS weekly MACD crossed downLFUS 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 26, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 25, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → UPTREND未确认转向 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 25, 2026
LFUS took relative-strength leadershipLFUS 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $477.22.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$477.22。
Jun 23, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 272 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.12
Value价值
-0.7
Profitability盈利能力
-0.5
Quality质量
+1.0
Investment资本投入
+0.4
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.9
Low volatility低波动
-0.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
+1.4
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.0

Company Profile公司档案

Littelfuse, Inc. is an American electronics manufacturing company headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.力特保险丝公司是一家总部位于伊利诺伊州芝加哥的美国电子制造企业。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Receivables stretch
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