VSAT Viasat, Inc. · $71.48 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤 Terminal终端
Viasat, Inc. · Tech

VSAT

$71.48
Viasat, Inc. is an American communications company based in Carlsbad, California, with additional operations across the United States and worldwide.Viasat,Inc.是一家美国通信公司,总部位于加利福尼亚州卡尔斯巴德,业务遍及美国及全球。
Speculative / unprofitable投机/未盈利 Mid cap中盘 $9B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 60.0.日线低点正在形成,但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位;止损设于 60.0 下方。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$71.48
20.4% below 52-week high低于52周高点 20.4%
Market Cap市值
$9B
Normal volume正常成交量
Beta贝塔
3.48
Moves about 3.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 3.5 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
50
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
88th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
9.1% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 VSAT S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -2.8% -1.5% Lagged the index by 1.3 points落后指数 1.3 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +10.7% +0.6% Beat the index by 10.1 points跑赢指数 10.1 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +13.7% +4.7% Beat the index by 9.0 points跑赢指数 9.0 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +55.6% +7.8% Beat the index by 47.8 points跑赢指数 47.8 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +90.0% +9.1% Beat the index by 80.9 points跑赢指数 80.9 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +354.7% +19.4% Beat the index by 335.3 points跑赢指数 335.3 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +137.0% +69.4% Beat the index by 67.6 points跑赢指数 67.6 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 50 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -0.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +42.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 88th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$65.05
Don't chase above不追高于
$71.48
Stop止损
$60.00
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认,先观望

Earnings财务业绩

16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04

Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 VSAT Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/B市净率 2.04x 5.85
88%
P/S市销率 2.01x 4.85
78%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 -0.37% 2.19
8%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 8.73x 29.30
93%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$2.3B
2021
$2.8B
2022
$2.6B
2023
$4.3B
2024
$4.5B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 19.0%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$0.06
2021
$-0.21
2022
$14.29
2023
$-9.12
2024
$-4.48
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
-$100.0M
2021
-$432.6M
2022
-$709.1M
2023
2024
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
-2.2%
Net margin净利率
-0.7%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
34.3%
-0.7%Return on Equity股本回报率
-0.2%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-1.18
Current ratio流动比率1.72
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$80.4M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)+3.5%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/7 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (0.8) Warning警示

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 86% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 86% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
3.48×
0.2
Moves about 3.5× the market波动幅度约为市场的 3.5 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/7
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Space Economy theme — #40 of 46 themes「太空经济」主题 — 46 个主题中第 40 位
Macro宏观 Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场/成长beta体现,并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 VSAT weekly MACD crossed downVSAT 周线MACD下穿

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±6.06%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±13.56%
Call wall看涨密集区
$80
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.0%
Skew: 偏斜:balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$17.6M net (0 buyers, 7 sellers)-$17.6M 净值(0 买家,7 卖家)

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum just crossed down; investor cycle overdue). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态(摆动低点已现、动量转向上行)——但更高周期尚未确认:大局仍偏空(周线动量刚刚向下交叉;投资者周期已逾期)。这是「未确认转向」,并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格,因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹,也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种,故应将其视为风险/仓位信号,而非方向判断。实测:周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点,周线转向后升至约 68%
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 17, 2026
VSAT weekly MACD crossed downVSAT 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A LOW → TOPPING接近低点 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jul 13, 2026
VSAT daily MACD crossed downVSAT 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $69.54.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$69.54。
Jul 10, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 9, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 8, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 7, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.40
Value价值
-0.1
Quality质量
+0.7
Investment资本投入
+0.8
Low volatility低波动
-3.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-3.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
+1.0
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.1

Company Profile公司档案

Viasat, Inc. is an American communications company based in Carlsbad, California, with additional operations across the United States and worldwide.Viasat,Inc.是一家美国通信公司,总部位于加利福尼亚州卡尔斯巴德,业务遍及美国及全球。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Capital intensity rising
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