ARW Arrow Electronics · $206.61 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

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Arrow Electronics · Tech

ARW

$206.61
Arrow Electronics, Inc., is an American company headquartered in Centennial, Colorado.ArrowElectronics,Inc.是一家美国公司，总部位于科罗拉多州森特尼尔。
Deep value深度价值 Large cap大盘 $11B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 193.88.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 193.88 下方。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$206.61
12.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 12.0%
Market Cap市值
$11B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
18.5x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.44
Moves about 1.4x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.4 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
47
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
81th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.8% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 ARW S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +0.1% -1.5% Beat the index by 1.6 points跑赢指数 1.6 个百分点
1 Month近1月 -8.6% +0.6% Lagged the index by 9.2 points落后指数 9.2 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +18.1% +4.7% Beat the index by 13.4 points跑赢指数 13.4 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +74.8% +7.8% Beat the index by 67.0 points跑赢指数 67.0 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +82.8% +9.1% Beat the index by 73.7 points跑赢指数 73.7 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +58.0% +19.4% Beat the index by 38.6 points跑赢指数 38.6 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +42.4% +69.4% Lagged the index by 27.0 points落后指数 27.0 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 47 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -3.2% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +35.2% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 81th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$202.70
Don't chase above不追高于
$206.60
Stop止损
$193.90
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望

Earnings财务业绩

11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30

Estimates being raised — 4 analysts预期上调 — 4 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 ARW Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 18.48x 40.17
80%
P/B市净率 1.60x 5.85
91%
P/S市销率 0.34x 4.85
96%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 5.41% 2.19
83%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 -0.35% 3.05
4%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 1.53% 2.16
43%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 13.89x 29.30
78%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$28.7B
2020
$34.5B
2021
$37.1B
2022
$33.1B
2023
$27.9B
2024
$30.9B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 1.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$7.43
2020
$15.10
2021
$21.80
2022
$15.84
2023
$7.29
2024
$10.93
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 8.0%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$1.2B
2020
$335.9M
2021
-$111.9M
2022
$622.2M
2023
$1.0B
2024
-$37.2M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
11.2%
Operating margin营业利润率
2.7%
Net margin净利率
1.9%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
0.2%
8.7%Return on Equity股本回报率
2.0%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA2.89
Current ratio流动比率1.36
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$161.7M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$27.9M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-2.1%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.0) Warning警示

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 70% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 70% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.44×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.4× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.4 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +21.2%空头仓位变动 +21.2%
Technical技术面 ARW weekly MACD crossed downARW 周线MACD下穿

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$3.3M net (1 buyers, 4 sellers)-$3.3M 净值（1 买家，4 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum just crossed down). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量刚刚向下交叉）。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 17, 2026
ARW weekly MACD crossed downARW 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 10, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 10, 2026
ARW StochRSI turned up from oversoldARW StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $206.41.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$206.41。
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 7, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 30, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 26, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 247 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.33
Value价值
+1.2
Profitability盈利能力
-1.1
Quality质量
-0.1
Investment资本投入
-1.5
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.6
Low volatility低波动
+0.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.8
Earnings quality盈利质量
-1.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.9

Company Profile公司档案

Arrow Electronics, Inc., is an American company headquartered in Centennial, Colorado.ArrowElectronics,Inc.是一家美国公司，总部位于科罗拉多州森特尼尔。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Margin compression despite revenue growth
  • Receivables stretch
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