IBP
Installed Building Products, Inc.
·
$228.65
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
Terminal终端 ↗
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成,目前价格已拉伸(动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下)。不要追高;等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$228.65
33.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 33.0%
Market Cap市值
$6B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
23.2x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.26
Moves about 1.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
54
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-06 (18d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
35th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.6% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | IBP | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +1.6% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 3.1 points跑赢指数 3.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +8.2% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 7.6 points跑赢指数 7.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -23.2% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 27.9 points落后指数 27.9 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -25.6% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 33.4 points落后指数 33.4 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -13.8% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 22.9 points落后指数 22.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +20.5% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 1.1 points跑赢指数 1.1 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +62.2% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 7.2 points落后指数 7.2 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI(14)
54
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+5.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-13.0% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
35th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$224.40
Don't chase above不追高于
$228.60
Stop止损
$206.70
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
18
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-06
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | IBP | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) | 23.24x | 20.23 | 39% |
| P/B市净率 | 8.69x | 2.97 | 17% |
| P/S市销率 | 2.08x | 1.23 | 28% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.30% | 4.53 | 46% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 4.88% | 5.69 | 42% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 2.80% | 4.31 | 33% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 15.03x | 11.48 | 29% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 20.50x | 16.53 | 37% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 12.4%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 24.3%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
37.4%Return on Equity股本回报率
12.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 1.26 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 3.03 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM) | $172.6M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $21.5M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年) | -2.8% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 8/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (5.9)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 31% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 31% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.26×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.3× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
Financial Health财务健康
8/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Housing Chain theme — #25 of 46 themes「住房产业链」主题 — 46 个主题中第 25 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +16.3%空头仓位变动 +16.3%
Technical技术面
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛,价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.73%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±8.33%
Call wall看涨密集区
$230
Put wall看跌密集区
$210
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-4.4%
Flow资金流向
$0M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; P/C 0.44; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $0M;0DTE占0%;看跌看涨比 0.44;≈偏看涨(方向近似)
Skew: 偏斜:fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$128.4M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$128.4M 净值(0 买家,5 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giverny Capital | C | trimtrim | 3.9% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TOP WATCH
NEARING A HIGH
Jul 13, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
UPTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN上涨趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 30, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → UPTREND未确认转向 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 23, 2026
UPTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN上涨趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 15, 2026
IBP broke down vs the marketIBP 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $208.59.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$208.59。
Jun 11, 2026
DOWNTREND → UPTREND下跌趋势 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 10, 2026
IBP printed a daily-cycle lowIBP 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $195.28.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$195.28。
Jun 10, 2026
IBP broke down vs the marketIBP 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $195.28.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$195.28。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条,共 229 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.13
Value价值
-0.6
Profitability盈利能力
+1.0
Quality质量
-0.3
Investment资本投入
+0.5
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.3
Low volatility低波动
-1.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.6
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.5
Company Profile公司档案
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析,覆盖所有标普500成分股。