IBP Installed Building Products, Inc. · $228.65 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤 Terminal终端
Installed Building Products, Inc. · Consumer Disc.

IBP

$228.65
Rate-sensitive利率敏感 Mid cap中盘 $6B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成,目前价格已拉伸(动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下)。不要追高;等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Open in Terminal打开终端 All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$228.65
33.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 33.0%
Market Cap市值
$6B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
23.2x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.26
Moves about 1.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
54
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-06 (18d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
35th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.6% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 IBP S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +1.6% -1.5% Beat the index by 3.1 points跑赢指数 3.1 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +8.2% +0.6% Beat the index by 7.6 points跑赢指数 7.6 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -23.2% +4.7% Lagged the index by 27.9 points落后指数 27.9 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -25.6% +7.8% Lagged the index by 33.4 points落后指数 33.4 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -13.8% +9.1% Lagged the index by 22.9 points落后指数 22.9 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +20.5% +19.4% Beat the index by 1.1 points跑赢指数 1.1 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +62.2% +69.4% Lagged the index by 7.2 points落后指数 7.2 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 54 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +5.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -13.0% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 35th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$224.40
Don't chase above不追高于
$228.60
Stop止损
$206.70
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

18
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-06

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 IBP Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 23.24x 20.23
39%
P/B市净率 8.69x 2.97
17%
P/S市销率 2.08x 1.23
28%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 4.30% 4.53
46%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 4.88% 5.69
42%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 2.80% 4.31
33%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 15.03x 11.48
29%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 20.50x 16.53
37%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$1.7B
2020
$2.0B
2021
$2.7B
2022
$2.8B
2023
$2.9B
2024
$3.0B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 12.4%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$3.27
2020
$4.01
2021
$7.74
2022
$8.61
2023
$9.10
2024
$9.71
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 24.3%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$147.2M
2020
$101.3M
2021
$232.3M
2022
$278.6M
2023
$251.4M
2024
$300.8M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
34.0%
Operating margin营业利润率
13.0%
Net margin净利率
8.9%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
12.5%
37.4%Return on Equity股本回报率
12.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA1.26
Current ratio流动比率3.03
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$172.6M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$21.5M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)-2.8%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 8/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (5.9) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 31% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 31% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.26×
0.2
Moves about 1.3× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
Financial Health财务健康
8/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Housing Chain theme — #25 of 46 themes「住房产业链」主题 — 46 个主题中第 25 位
Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +16.3%空头仓位变动 +16.3%
Technical技术面 UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛,价格波动可能被放大

Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.73%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±8.33%
Call wall看涨密集区
$230
Put wall看跌密集区
$210
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-4.4%
Flow资金流向

$0M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; P/C 0.44; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $0M;0DTE占0%;看跌看涨比 0.44;≈偏看涨(方向近似)

Skew: 偏斜:fear

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$128.4M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$128.4M 净值(0 买家,5 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Giverny Capital C trimtrim 3.9% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~23 day(s) ago @ 206.7) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发(摆动低点出现、动量转向上行),但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点(约 23 天前形成 @ 206.7)且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认:在垂直拉升之后,只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发,因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高,而非新的买入。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 13, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
UPTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN上涨趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 30, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → UPTREND未确认转向 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 23, 2026
UPTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN上涨趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 15, 2026
IBP broke down vs the marketIBP 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $208.59.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$208.59。
Jun 11, 2026
DOWNTREND → UPTREND下跌趋势 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 10, 2026
IBP printed a daily-cycle lowIBP 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $195.28.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$195.28。
Jun 10, 2026
IBP broke down vs the marketIBP 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $195.28.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$195.28。

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.13
Value价值
-0.6
Profitability盈利能力
+1.0
Quality质量
-0.3
Investment资本投入
+0.5
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.3
Low volatility低波动
-1.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.6
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.5

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