LyondellBasell · Materials
LYB
$59.17
LyondellBasell Industries N.V. is an American multinational chemical company, incorporated in the Netherlands with U.S. operations headquartered in Houston, Texas and offices in London, UK. The company is the largest licensor of polyethylene and polypropylene technologies.利安德巴塞尔工业公司是一家美国跨国化学公司，在荷兰注册成立，美国业务总部位于德克萨斯州休斯顿，并在英国伦敦设有办事处。该公司是聚乙烯和聚丙烯技术的最大授权商。
Speculative / unprofitable投机／未盈利
Large cap大盘
$19B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 52.58.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 52.58 下方。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$59.17
27.4% below 52-week high低于52周高点 27.4%
Market Cap市值
$19B
Normal volume正常成交量
Beta贝塔
-0.14
Moves about -0.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
52
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-07 (19d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
20th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.0% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | LYB | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +5.0% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 6.5 points跑赢指数 6.5 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -4.3% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 4.9 points落后指数 4.9 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -9.8% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 14.5 points落后指数 14.5 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +18.9% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 11.1 points跑赢指数 11.1 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +36.3% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 27.2 points跑赢指数 27.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +0.7% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 18.7 points落后指数 18.7 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
52
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-6.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+4.7% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
20th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$56.42
Don't chase above不追高于
$59.17
Stop止损
$52.58
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望
Earnings财务业绩
19
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-07
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | LYB | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/B市净率 | 1.89x | 2.82 | 63% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.63x | 1.64 | 81% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | -3.87% | 2.96 | 14% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.01% | 3.23 | 32% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 10.31% | 2.70 | 98% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 16.10x | 12.20 | 35% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 49.63x | 25.03 | 17% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 1.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
-7.3%Return on Equity股本回报率
-2.2%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -3.55 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.77 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $201.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $91.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -0.6% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 2/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.8)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 53% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 53% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
-0.14×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
2/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Materials (Equal-Weight) theme — #26 of 46 themes「材料（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 26 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
LYB reclaimed its 200-day averageLYB 收复200日均线
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.12%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±6.99%
Call wall看涨密集区
$62
Put wall看跌密集区
$55
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-3.1%
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$26.0M net (1 buyers, 1 sellers)-$26.0M 净值（1 买家，1 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 10, 2026
LYB reclaimed its 200-day averageLYB 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $56.35.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$56.35。
Jul 8, 2026
LYB daily MACD crossed upLYB 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $55.72.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$55.72。
Jul 7, 2026
LYB StochRSI turned up from oversoldLYB StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $54.60.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$54.60。
Jul 1, 2026
LYB printed a daily-cycle lowLYB 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $52.58.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$52.58。
Jun 25, 2026
LYB lost its 200-day averageLYB 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $55.84.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$55.84。
Jun 18, 2026
LYB broke down vs the marketLYB 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $60.07.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$60.07。
Jun 18, 2026
LYB RSI reached oversoldLYB RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $60.07.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$60.07。
Jun 10, 2026
LYB StochRSI turned up from oversoldLYB StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $65.15.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$65.15。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 87 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.49
Value价值
+0.1
Quality质量
+0.4
Investment资本投入
+0.8
Shareholder payout股东回报
+1.6
Low volatility低波动
-0.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.7
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.8
Company Profile公司档案
LyondellBasell Industries N.V. is an American multinational chemical company, incorporated in the Netherlands with U.S. operations headquartered in Houston, Texas and offices in London, UK. The company is the largest licensor of polyethylene and polypropylene technologies.利安德巴塞尔工业公司是一家美国跨国化学公司，在荷兰注册成立，美国业务总部位于德克萨斯州休斯顿，并在英国伦敦设有办事处。该公司是聚乙烯和聚丙烯技术的最大授权商。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
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