Lilly (Eli) · Health Care
LLY
$1179.11
Eli Lilly and Company, doing business as Lilly, is an American multinational pharmaceutical company headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana, with offices in 18 countries. Its products are sold in approximately 125 countries.礼来公司（以Lilly为品牌名运营）是一家美国跨国制药公司，总部位于印第安纳州印第安纳波利斯，在18个国家设有办事处，产品销往约125个国家。
Secular growth长期成长
Mega cap超大盘
$1112B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Leader · weak fundamentals — higher-risk领先 · 基本面偏弱 — 风险偏高
Setup almost complete — likely buy trigger in ~1–3 trading days if it closes back above its 10-day average.形态接近完成——若收盘重新站上 10 日均线，预计将在约 1–3 个交易日内出现买入触发。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$1179.11
4.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 4.6%
Market Cap市值
$1112B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
53.9x
28.9x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
26.3x
EPS每股收益 $21.88
Beta贝塔
0.41
Moves about 0.4x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.4 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
0.59%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
55
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-06 (18d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
56th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.0% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | LLY | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -0.8% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +6.0% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 5.4 points跑赢指数 5.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +27.4% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 22.7 points跑赢指数 22.7 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +13.9% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 6.1 points跑赢指数 6.1 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +9.5% | +9.1% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +55.9% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 36.5 points跑赢指数 36.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +167.0% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 97.6 points跑赢指数 97.6 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +431.7% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 347.8 points跑赢指数 347.8 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
MA Buy (7)Short-term Rising TrendLong-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)
RSI (14)RSI（14）
55
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+6.3% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+17.3% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
24
Trending趋势中
Volatility rank波动率分位
56th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$1166.30
Don't chase above不追高于
$1189.40
Stop止损
$1098.60
Buy soon — on confirmation即将买入 — 待确认
Earnings财务业绩
18
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-06
Estimates being raised — 3 analysts预期上调 — 3 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | LLY | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 53.89x | 28.92 | 16% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 26.3x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 41.92x | 3.52 | 1% |
| P/S市销率 | 17.07x | 3.02 | 5% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.86% | 2.72 | 38% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.37% | 1.89 | 22% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 21.6%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 27.6%
Margins利润率
77.8%Return on Equity股本回报率
18.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.58 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $4.1B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $626.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -0.5% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (8.9)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 7% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 7% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.41×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.4× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.4 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
0.59%
Pays a dividend (0.59% yield)有分红（收益率 0.59%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
News新闻
1 recent stories — mixed1 篇最新报道，多空参半
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Health Care (Equal-Weight) theme — #6 of 46 themes「医疗保健（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 6 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
LLY took relative-strength leadershipLLY 取得相对强弱领先
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.78%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±6.22%
Call wall看涨密集区
$1200
Put wall看跌密集区
$1140
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$1099
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.8%
Flow资金流向
$83M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 138 fresh positions; P/C 0.97; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $83M；0DTE占0%；138个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.97；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$79237.0M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$79237.0M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soros Fund Management | B | Holding持有 | 0.3% | 2026-03-31 |
| Polen Capital Management | B | trimtrim | 5.8% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 17, 2026
LLY took relative-strength leadershipLLY 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $1,179.11.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$1,179.11。
Jul 10, 2026
UPTREND → TOPPING上涨趋势 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jul 10, 2026
LLY daily MACD crossed downLLY 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $1,188.58.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$1,188.58。
Jul 9, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 7, 2026
LLY made a new 52-week highLLY 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $1,235.56.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$1,235.56。
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.97
Value价值
-1.1
Quality质量
-0.8
Investment资本投入
-2.0
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.9
Low volatility低波动
+0.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.6
Earnings quality盈利质量
-1.5
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.9
Company Profile公司档案
Eli Lilly and Company, doing business as Lilly, is an American multinational pharmaceutical company headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana, with offices in 18 countries. Its products are sold in approximately 125 countries.礼来公司（以Lilly为品牌名运营）是一家美国跨国制药公司，总部位于印第安纳州印第安纳波利斯，在18个国家设有办事处，产品销往约125个国家。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Receivables stretch
- Inventory build
Recent News最新动态
Atlas Healthcare Fund by VST Capital Entered Eli Lilly at $350 in 2020 — The Stock Now Trades Above $1,200
GlobeNewswire Inc.
2026-07-17
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