TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific · $532.48 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

Thermo Fisher Scientific · Health Care

TMO

$532.48

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. is an American life science and clinical research company.ThermoFisherScientificInc.是一家美国生命科学和临床研究公司。

Mixed profile混合特征 Large cap大盘 $198B

Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20

Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤

You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily moment已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下）。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。

Engine levels · 52-week range引擎点位 · 52周区间

$532

$514

$532

$540

$515

$395$651

Price现价 $532Trail stop止损线 $514Don't chase勿追高 $532Call wall看涨期权墙 $540Put wall看跌期权墙 $515 Buy zone买入区 $511–$527

Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗ All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Price Chart价格图表

Full chart in Terminal终端完整图表 ↗

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格

$532.48

16.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 16.6%

Market Cap市值

$198B

Normal volume正常成交量

P/E Ratio市盈率

29.4x

28.9x sector median

Forward P/E预测市盈率

19.5x

EPS每股收益 $18.09

Beta贝塔

0.81

Moves about 0.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍

Dividend Yield股息收益率

0.35%

RSI (14)RSI（14）

Elevated偏高

Next Earnings下次财报

2026-07-22 (3d)

Volatility Rank波动率分位

44th pctile

hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Short Interest空头兴趣

1.4% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期	TMO	S&P 500	vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周	+1.0%	-1.5%	Beat the index by 2.5 points跑赢指数 2.5 个百分点
1 Month近1月	+15.3%	+0.6%	Beat the index by 14.7 points跑赢指数 14.7 个百分点
3 Months近3月	+1.1%	+4.7%	Lagged the index by 3.6 points落后指数 3.6 个百分点
6 Months近6月	-13.9%	+7.8%	Lagged the index by 21.7 points落后指数 21.7 个百分点
Year to date年初至今	-10.0%	+9.1%	Lagged the index by 19.1 points落后指数 19.1 个百分点
1 Year近1年	+25.6%	+19.4%	Beat the index by 6.2 points跑赢指数 6.2 个百分点
3 Years近3年	+2.6%	+69.4%	Lagged the index by 66.8 points落后指数 66.8 个百分点
5 Years近5年	+3.8%	+83.9%	Lagged the index by 80.1 points落后指数 80.1 个百分点

Technicals技术面

Active signals活跃信号

1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)Ichimoku — Price Above Cloud

RSI (14)RSI（14） 63 Elevated偏高

vs 50-day相对50日均线 +10.0% vs 50-day avg

vs 200-day相对200日均线 +0.7% vs 200-day avg

Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX） 35 Strong trend趋势强劲

Volatility rank波动率分位 44th percentile 分位

Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议

Buy zone买入区间

$519.10

Don't chase above不追高于

$532.50

Stop止损

$461.70

Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

days until next report天后公布财报

2026-07-22

Estimates being cut预期下调

Post-earnings drift: -8.1% (20d)财报后漂移：-8.1%（20日）

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标	TMO	Sector median行业中位	Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史）	29.43x	28.92	48%
P/E (forward)市盈率（预测）	19.5x	—	—
P/B市净率	3.70x	3.52	46%
P/S市销率	4.44x	3.02	33%
Earnings yield盈利收益率	3.40%	2.72	62%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率	3.18%	3.94	38%
Shareholder yield股东收益率	1.84%	1.89	48%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA	26.22x	18.21	28%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流	31.43x	22.42	28%

Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入

$32.2B

2020

$39.2B

2021

$44.9B

2022

$42.9B

2023

$42.9B

2024

$44.6B

2025

5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 6.7%

Earnings Per Share每股收益

$15.96

2020

$19.46

2021

$17.63

2022

$15.45

2023

$16.53

2024

$17.74

2025

5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 2.1%

Free Cash Flow自由现金流

$6.8B

2020

$6.8B

2021

$6.9B

2022

$6.9B

2023

$7.3B

2024

$6.3B

2025

Margins利润率

Operating margin营业利润率

17.4%

Net margin净利率

15.1%

FCF margin自由现金流利润率

17.5%

12.6%Return on Equity股本回报率

6.1%Return on Assets资产回报率

Leverage杠杆

Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA	3.73
Current ratio流动比率	1.89

Capital Allocation资本配置

Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）	$3.0B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬	$310.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）	-1.5%

Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/7 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.6) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业

Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理

Cheaper than 39% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 39% 的公司

Beta市场敏感度

0.81×

0.21×3×

Moves about 0.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍

Financial Health财务健康

4/7

Altman阿尔特曼: safe

Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱

Dividend分红

0.35%

Pays a dividend (0.35% yield)有分红（收益率 0.35%）

Why Is It Moving为何波动

News新闻 2 recent stories — mixed2 篇最新报道，多空参半

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Health Care (Equal-Weight) theme — #6 of 46 themes「医疗保健（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 6 位

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。

Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +21.1%空头仓位变动 +21.1%

Technical技术面 TMO RSI reached overboughtTMO RSI进入超买

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动

±2.34%

Expected weekly move预期周波动

±5.22%

Call wall看涨密集区

$540

Put wall看跌密集区

$515

Gamma flip伽玛翻转

$505

25d risk reversal25d风险逆转

-0.8%

Skew: 偏斜：balanced

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$96.4M net (0 buyers, 6 sellers)-$96.4M 净值（0 买家，6 卖家）

Concentrated ownership集中持仓

Fund基金	Grade评级	Activity动作	% of portfolio组合占比	As of截至
D1 Capital Partners	A	New position新建仓	3.2%	2026-03-31
Viking Global (Halvorsen)	B	Adding加仓	2.3%	2026-03-31
Third Point (Loeb)	B	exitexit	0.0%	2026-03-31
Polen Capital Management	B	exitexit	0.0%	2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点

TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~20 day(s) ago @ 461.69) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发（摆动低点出现、动量转向上行），但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点（约 20 天前形成 @ 461.69）且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认：在垂直拉升之后，只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发，因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高，而非新的买入

TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH

Jul 16, 2026

TMO RSI reached overboughtTMO RSI进入超买

RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $543.19.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$543.19。

Jul 13, 2026

UPTREND → BUY ZONE上涨趋势 → 买入区

BUY买入

Jul 10, 2026

TMO reclaimed its 200-day averageTMO 收复200日均线

Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $527.05.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$527.05。

Jul 8, 2026

BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势

HOLD持有

Jul 1, 2026

UPTREND → BUY ZONE上涨趋势 → 买入区

BUY买入

Jun 30, 2026

BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势

HOLD持有

Jun 26, 2026

UPTREND → BUY ZONE上涨趋势 → 买入区

BUY买入

Jun 26, 2026

TMO weekly MACD crossed upTMO 周线MACD上穿

The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 3842 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.29

Value价值

-0.5

Quality质量

-0.6

Investment资本投入

-0.3

Shareholder payout股东回报

-0.6

Low volatility低波动

+0.5

Low market beta低市场敏感度

+0.0

Earnings quality盈利质量

-0.6

Short interest空头兴趣

+1.0

Company Profile公司档案

Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. is an American life science and clinical research company.ThermoFisherScientificInc.是一家美国生命科学和临床研究公司。

Demand chain:需求链： Contracted bookings (RPO) accelerating (+13% YoY to ~$28B, 0.6× revenue) — signed demand locked in ahead of recognition已签约订单（RPO）加速（同比+13%，约 $28B，覆盖营收 0.6 倍）——已锁定、尚未确认的需求