Merck & Co. · Health Care
MRK
$127.50
Merck & Co., Inc. is an American multinational pharmaceutical company headquartered in Rahway, New Jersey.默克公司是一家美国跨国制药公司，总部位于新泽西州拉威。
Mixed profile混合特征
Mega cap超大盘
$315B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Confirmed cycle low — the entry window is open now, with a clear exit if it closes back below 113.87.周期低点已确认——入场窗口现已开启，若收盘重新跌破 113.87 则明确离场。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$127.50
1.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 1.6%
Market Cap市值
$315B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
17.3x
28.9x sector median
Forward P/E预测市盈率
13.2x
EPS每股收益 $7.38
Beta贝塔
0.16
Moves about 0.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.2 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
2.67%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
58
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
89th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.3% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | MRK | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +3.2% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 4.7 points跑赢指数 4.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +10.4% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 9.8 points跑赢指数 9.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +7.8% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 3.1 points跑赢指数 3.1 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +18.9% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 11.1 points跑赢指数 11.1 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +21.5% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 12.4 points跑赢指数 12.4 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +61.6% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 42.2 points跑赢指数 42.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +32.0% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 37.4 points落后指数 37.4 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +91.0% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 7.1 points跑赢指数 7.1 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
Long-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)
RSI (14)RSI（14）
58
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+7.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+17.9% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
18
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位
89th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$125.90
Don't chase above不追高于
$128.80
Stop止损
$113.90
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | MRK | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 17.27x | 28.92 | 83% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 13.2x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 5.99x | 3.52 | 24% |
| P/S市销率 | 4.85x | 3.02 | 31% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 5.79% | 2.72 | 88% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.92% | 3.94 | 49% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 4.21% | 1.89 | 79% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 25.50x | 22.42 | 41% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 6.3%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 21.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
34.7%Return on Equity股本回报率
13.3%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.54 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $5.1B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $820.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -2.1% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 3/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.6)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 47% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 47% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.16×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
3/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
2.67%
Pays a dividend (2.67% yield)有分红（收益率 2.67%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Big Pharma theme — #3 of 46 themes「大型药企」主题 — 46 个主题中第 3 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
MRK StochRSI turned up from oversoldMRK StochRSI自超卖区上行
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.14%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.79%
Call wall看涨密集区
$140
Put wall看跌密集区
$115
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.5%
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$42.0M net (0 buyers, 10 sellers)-$42.0M 净值（0 买家，10 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
FRESH BUY
BUY ZONE
Jul 16, 2026
MRK StochRSI turned up from oversoldMRK StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $127.63.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$127.63。
Jul 14, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 13, 2026
TOPPING → BOTTOMING做顶中 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 10, 2026
NEARING A LOW → TOPPING接近低点 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jul 10, 2026
MRK daily MACD crossed downMRK 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $123.54.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$123.54。
Jul 8, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A LOW买入区 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 3, 2026
MRK weekly MACD crossed upMRK 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 2, 2026
MRK made a new 52-week highMRK 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $129.56.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$129.56。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.20
Value价值
-0.5
Quality质量
-0.7
Investment资本投入
-0.5
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.1
Low volatility低波动
+0.7
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.9
Earnings quality盈利质量
-1.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.0
Company Profile公司档案
Merck & Co., Inc. is an American multinational pharmaceutical company headquartered in Rahway, New Jersey.默克公司是一家美国跨国制药公司，总部位于新泽西州拉威。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Receivables stretch
- Capital intensity rising
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。