IP
International Paper
·
$37.56
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Terminal终端 ↗
International Paper · Materials
IP
$37.56
The International Paper Company is an American pulp and paper company, the largest such company in the world. It has approximately 39,000 employees, and is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.国际纸业公司是一家美国纸浆和造纸公司，是全球最大的此类公司。它拥有约39,000名员工，总部位于田纳西州孟菲斯。
Speculative / unprofitable投机／未盈利
Large cap大盘
$24B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Stretched/late — protect gains and don't start new positions; let the next low set up first.已拉伸／晚期——保护利润，不要新开仓；先等下一个低点构筑成形。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$37.56
29.3% below 52-week high低于52周高点 29.3%
Market Cap市值
$24B
Normal volume正常成交量
Forward P/E预测市盈率
13.4x
EPS每股收益 $-5.61
Beta贝塔
1.16
Moves about 1.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍
Dividend Yield股息收益率
4.93%
RSI (14)RSI（14）
55
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
27th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
8.6% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | IP | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -1.0% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +3.9% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 3.3 points跑赢指数 3.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +2.7% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 2.0 points落后指数 2.0 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -11.2% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 19.0 points落后指数 19.0 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -4.3% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 13.4 points落后指数 13.4 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -22.7% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 42.1 points落后指数 42.1 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +37.0% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 32.4 points落后指数 32.4 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | -16.2% | +83.9% | Lagged the index by 100.1 points落后指数 100.1 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
MA Sell (21)1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Buy signal — fires when Insider Power ≥ 60 (net buying on quality-weighted basis)
RSI (14)RSI（14）
55
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+8.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-1.6% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
18
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位
27th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$37.40
Don't chase above不追高于
$37.56
Stop止损
$34.95
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: +2.3% (20d)财报后漂移：+2.3%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | IP | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 13.4x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 1.59x | 2.82 | 69% |
| P/S市销率 | 1.00x | 1.64 | 69% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | -14.93% | 2.96 | 7% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | -0.68% | 3.23 | 14% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.28% | 2.70 | 11% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 2.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
-23.7%Return on Equity股本回报率
-9.3%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.28 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $65.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +39.7% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.5)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 51% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 51% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.16×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/9
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
4.93%
Pays a dividend (4.93% yield)有分红（收益率 4.93%）
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Materials (Equal-Weight) theme — #26 of 46 themes「材料（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 26 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
IP StochRSI turned up from oversoldIP StochRSI自超卖区上行
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.08%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±6.89%
Call wall看涨密集区
$40
Put wall看跌密集区
$35
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$46
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
10.7%
Skew: 偏斜：greed
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: +$3.3M net (3 buyers, 1 sellers)+$3.3M 净值（3 买家，1 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TOP WATCH
NEARING A HIGH
Jul 17, 2026
IP StochRSI turned up from oversoldIP StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $37.56.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$37.56。
Jul 8, 2026
IP daily MACD crossed downIP 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $36.67.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$36.67。
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 7, 2026
IP lost its 200-day averageIP 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $37.92.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$37.92。
Jul 2, 2026
IP reclaimed its 200-day averageIP 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $38.79.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$38.79。
Jun 30, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 29, 2026
IP lost its 200-day averageIP 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $38.23.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$38.23。
Jun 25, 2026
IP reclaimed its 200-day averageIP 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $39.02.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$39.02。
Jun 25, 2026
IP RSI reached overboughtIP RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $39.02.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$39.02。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.74
Value价值
-0.6
Quality质量
+1.2
Investment资本投入
-3.0
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.9
Low volatility低波动
-0.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.4
Earnings quality盈利质量
+2.1
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.8
Company Profile公司档案
The International Paper Company is an American pulp and paper company, the largest such company in the world. It has approximately 39,000 employees, and is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.国际纸业公司是一家美国纸浆和造纸公司，是全球最大的此类公司。它拥有约39,000名员工，总部位于田纳西州孟菲斯。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。