ICHR
Ichor Holdings, Ltd.
·
$82.87
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Terminal终端 ↗
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
A cycle low is due in roughly ~0–16 trading days — watch for the turn, don't front-run it.周期低点预计在约 ~0–16 个交易日内出现——等待转向，切勿抢跑。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$82.87
26.2% below 52-week high低于52周高点 26.2%
Market Cap市值
$3B
Normal volume正常成交量
Beta贝塔
4.07
Moves about 4.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 4.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
45
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-03 (15d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
76th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.9% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | ICHR | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -17.4% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 15.9 points落后指数 15.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -7.4% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 8.0 points落后指数 8.0 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +26.0% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 21.3 points跑赢指数 21.3 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +178.3% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 170.5 points跑赢指数 170.5 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +306.0% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 296.9 points跑赢指数 296.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +256.1% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 236.7 points跑赢指数 236.7 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +118.2% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 48.8 points跑赢指数 48.8 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
45
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+0.7% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+80.7% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
76th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$74.91
Don't chase above不追高于
$82.87
Stop止损
$82.87
Watch — a low is approaching观察 — 低点临近
Earnings财务业绩
15
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-03
Estimates being raised — 5 analysts预期上调 — 5 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: +5.9% (20d)财报后漂移：+5.9%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | ICHR | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/B市净率 | 4.30x | 5.85 | 57% |
| P/S市销率 | 3.01x | 4.85 | 67% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | -1.85% | 2.19 | 6% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | -0.22% | 3.05 | 5% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 0.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
-8.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
-5.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Current ratio流动比率 | 3.16 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $16.7M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +1.7% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 3/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (7.6)
Warning警示
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 43% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 43% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
4.07×
0.21×3×
Moves about 4.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 4.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
3/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Semiconductor Equipment (WFE) theme — #38 of 46 themes「半导体设备（晶圆厂设备）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 38 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -10.3%空头仓位变动 -10.3%
Technical技术面
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±7.98%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±17.85%
Call wall看涨密集区
$85
Put wall看跌密集区
$80
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-4.9%
Flow资金流向
$1M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 4 fresh positions; P/C 0.78; ~leans bearish (direction approx)成交权利金 $1M；0DTE占0%；4个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.78；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$5.4M net (1 buyers, 6 sellers)-$5.4M 净值（1 买家，6 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
BOTTOM WATCH
NEARING A LOW
Jul 13, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 10, 2026
ICHR StochRSI turned up from oversoldICHR StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $100.30.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$100.30。
Jul 9, 2026
ICHR took relative-strength leadershipICHR 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $96.44.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$96.44。
Jul 7, 2026
ICHR daily MACD crossed downICHR 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $85.01.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$85.01。
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 30, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 30, 2026
ICHR RSI reached overboughtICHR RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $112.28.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$112.28。
Jun 29, 2026
ICHR made a new 52-week highICHR 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $105.46.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$105.46。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 239 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.70
Value价值
-0.9
Profitability盈利能力
-1.3
Quality质量
+0.8
Investment资本投入
+0.8
Low volatility低波动
-3.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-3.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.6
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.0
Company Profile公司档案
Demand chain:需求链： Hyperscaler capex accelerating (+69% YoY to ~$379B) — the demand pool for wafer-fab equipment (one step back, longer lead)云厂商资本开支加速（同比+69%，约 $379B）——晶圆制造设备（上游一环，前置更长）的需求来源
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。