CXT Crane NXT · $51.27 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤 Terminal终端
Crane NXT · Tech

CXT

$51.27
Crane Currency is an American manufacturer that supplies central banks with design services, currency papers, and banknote printing services as well as anti-counterfeiting technology to issuing authorities and brand owners. Crane Currency is headquartered in Dalton, Massachusetts.克兰货币公司是一家美国制造商,为中央银行提供设计服务、货币纸张和钞票印刷服务,并为发钞机构和品牌所有者提供防伪技术。克兰货币总部位于马萨诸塞州道尔顿。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感 Mid cap中盘 $3B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
Stretched/late — protect gains and don't start new positions; let the next low set up first.已拉伸/晚期——保护利润,不要新开仓;先等下一个低点构筑成形。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$51.27
24.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 24.8%
Market Cap市值
$3B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
20.3x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.32
Moves about 1.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
64
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-05 (17d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
50th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
14.5% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 CXT S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +0.9% -1.5% Beat the index by 2.4 points跑赢指数 2.4 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +13.1% +0.6% Beat the index by 12.5 points跑赢指数 12.5 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +11.0% +4.7% Beat the index by 6.3 points跑赢指数 6.3 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -1.0% +7.8% Lagged the index by 8.8 points落后指数 8.8 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +8.3% +9.1% In line with the index与指数基本持平
1 Year近1年 -9.3% +19.4% Lagged the index by 28.7 points落后指数 28.7 个百分点
3 Years近3年 -9.4% +69.4% Lagged the index by 78.8 points落后指数 78.8 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 64 Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +16.8% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +2.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 50th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$50.20
Don't chase above不追高于
$51.27
Stop止损
$41.01
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

17
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-05

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 CXT Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 20.30x 40.17
77%
P/B市净率 2.35x 5.85
80%
P/S市销率 1.78x 4.85
79%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 4.93% 2.19
81%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 6.73% 3.05
80%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 10.52x 29.30
87%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 14.85x 30.46
78%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$2.9B
2020
$3.2B
2021
$3.4B
2022
$1.4B
2023
$1.5B
2024
$1.7B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -10.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$3.08
2020
$7.36
2021
$7.01
2022
$3.28
2023
$3.19
2024
$2.50
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -4.1%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$275.4M
2020
$415.0M
2021
-$210.0M
2022
$245.2M
2023
$168.7M
2024
$198.3M
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
14.9%
Net margin净利率
8.8%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
14.6%
11.6%Return on Equity股本回报率
4.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA2.18
Current ratio流动比率1.50
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$12.7M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)+0.4%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.0) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 81% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 81% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.32×
0.2
Moves about 1.3× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/9
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场/成长beta体现,并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +10.2%空头仓位变动 +10.2%
Technical技术面 CXT daily MACD crossed downCXT 日线MACD下穿

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. Late in the daily cycle (day 28 of ~23-44) — odds favor a dip into the next cycle low from here even with the trend intact. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell止盈。处于日线周期晚期(约 23-44 天中的第 28 天)——即便趋势完好,从此处概率上仍倾向于回落至下一个周期低点。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 14, 2026
CXT daily MACD crossed downCXT 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $50.66.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$50.66。
Jul 14, 2026
CXT StochRSI turned up from oversoldCXT StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $50.66.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$50.66。
Jul 13, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 10, 2026
CXT reclaimed its 200-day averageCXT 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $50.83.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$50.83。
Jul 10, 2026
CXT took relative-strength leadershipCXT 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $50.83.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$50.83。
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 7, 2026
CXT lost its 200-day averageCXT 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $49.89.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$49.89。
Jul 2, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 1, 2026
CXT took relative-strength leadershipCXT 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $51.96.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$51.96。

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.39
Value价值
-0.0
Quality质量
-0.2
Investment资本投入
-1.3
Low volatility低波动
-0.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.6
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.0

Company Profile公司档案

Crane Currency is an American manufacturer that supplies central banks with design services, currency papers, and banknote printing services as well as anti-counterfeiting technology to issuing authorities and brand owners. Crane Currency is headquartered in Dalton, Massachusetts.克兰货币公司是一家美国制造商,为中央银行提供设计服务、货币纸张和钞票印刷服务,并为发钞机构和品牌所有者提供防伪技术。克兰货币总部位于马萨诸塞州道尔顿。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Margin compression despite revenue growth
  • Receivables stretch
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