Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望,直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$25.38
24.4% below 52-week high低于52周高点 24.4%
Market Cap市值
$3B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
24.9x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
2.24
Moves about 2.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
33
Depressed偏低
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
60th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
7.6% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | ADEA | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -12.4% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 10.9 points落后指数 10.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -19.1% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 19.7 points落后指数 19.7 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -12.1% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 16.8 points落后指数 16.8 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +31.3% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 23.5 points跑赢指数 23.5 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +45.0% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 35.9 points跑赢指数 35.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +81.4% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 62.0 points跑赢指数 62.0 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +121.6% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 52.2 points跑赢指数 52.2 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI(14)
33
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-14.4% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+16.4% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
60th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$25.38
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期
Earnings财务业绩
16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Estimates being raised — 2 analysts预期上调 — 2 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | ADEA | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) | 24.91x | 40.17 | 70% |
| P/B市净率 | 5.76x | 5.85 | 51% |
| P/S市销率 | 6.24x | 4.85 | 37% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.02% | 2.19 | 75% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 5.65% | 3.05 | 73% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.77% | 2.16 | 26% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 17.58x | 29.30 | 67% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 17.70x | 30.46 | 70% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -13.0%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -10.8%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
23.1%Return on Equity股本回报率
10.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 1.95 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 3.81 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM) | $21.3M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $34.7M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年) | +0.9% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (4.3)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 60% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 60% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
2.24×
0.21×3×
Moves about 2.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场/成长beta体现,并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面
ADEA broke down vs the marketADEA 相对市场走弱
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soros Fund Management | B | New position新建仓 | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
DECLINE
DOWNTREND
Jul 16, 2026
ADEA broke down vs the marketADEA 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $25.90.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$25.90。
Jul 15, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 14, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 13, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A LOW → BOTTOMING接近低点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 7, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 6, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条,共 252 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.53
Value价值
-0.6
Quality质量
-0.3
Investment资本投入
+0.8
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.8
Low volatility低波动
-1.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.9
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.1
Company Profile公司档案
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析,覆盖所有标普500成分股。