NETSCOUT Systems, Inc. · Tech
NTCT
$41.30
NETSCOUT Systems, Inc. is an American technology company that specializes in software observability, deep packet inspection, DDoS mitigation and AIOps.NETSCOUTSystems,Inc.是一家美国科技公司，专注于软件可观测性、深度包检测、DDoS缓解和AIOps。
Mixed profile混合特征
Mid cap中盘
$3B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum is rolling筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且3 日/周线动量已开始掉头向下——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$41.30
7.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 7.9%
Market Cap市值
$3B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
31.2x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.03
Moves about 1.0x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
48
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-06 (18d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
77th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.5% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | NTCT | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -5.4% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 3.9 points落后指数 3.9 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +5.3% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 4.7 points跑赢指数 4.7 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +23.1% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 18.4 points跑赢指数 18.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +52.1% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 44.3 points跑赢指数 44.3 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +53.8% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 44.7 points跑赢指数 44.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +80.3% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 60.9 points跑赢指数 60.9 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +37.8% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 31.6 points落后指数 31.6 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
48
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+0.8% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+29.7% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
77th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$39.95
Don't chase above不追高于
$41.30
Stop止损
$39.22
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
18
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-06
Estimates being raised — 2 analysts预期上调 — 2 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | NTCT | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 31.22x | 40.17 | 61% |
| P/B市净率 | 1.82x | 5.85 | 90% |
| P/S市销率 | 3.47x | 4.85 | 61% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.20% | 2.19 | 67% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 7.12% | 3.05 | 82% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 2.04% | 2.16 | 49% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 14.05x | 30.46 | 80% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -0.3%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
5.8%Return on Equity股本回报率
4.1%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.75 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $64.8M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.7% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.8)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 74% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 74% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.03×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.0× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.0 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/9
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +19.4%空头仓位变动 +19.4%
Technical技术面
NTCT daily MACD crossed downNTCT 日线MACD下穿
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$1.1M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$1.1M 净值（0 买家，5 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 15, 2026
NTCT daily MACD crossed downNTCT 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $41.91.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$41.91。
Jul 13, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 10, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 9, 2026
NTCT made a new 52-week highNTCT 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $44.84.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$44.84。
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 7, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 7, 2026
NTCT daily MACD crossed upNTCT 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $42.37.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$42.37。
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 6, 2026
NTCT took relative-strength leadershipNTCT 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $42.11.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$42.11。
Jul 6, 2026
NTCT daily MACD crossed downNTCT 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $42.11.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$42.11。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 263 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.21
Value价值
-0.0
Profitability盈利能力
-0.1
Quality质量
+1.3
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.5
Low volatility低波动
+0.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.7
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.1
Company Profile公司档案
NETSCOUT Systems, Inc. is an American technology company that specializes in software observability, deep packet inspection, DDoS mitigation and AIOps.NETSCOUTSystems,Inc.是一家美国科技公司，专注于软件可观测性、深度包检测、DDoS缓解和AIOps。
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。