Churchill Downs Inc. · Consumer Disc.
CHDN
$83.95
Churchill Downs Incorporated is the parent company of Churchill Downs. The company has evolved from one racetrack in Louisville, Kentucky, to a multi American-state-wide, publicly traded company with racetracks, casinos and an online wagering company among its portfolio of businesses.ChurchillDownsIncorporated是ChurchillDowns的母公司。该公司已从肯塔基州路易斯维尔的一条赛马场发展成一家跨美国多个州的上市公司，旗下业务包括赛马场、赌场和在线投注公司。
Distressed困境股
Mid cap中盘
$6B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$83.95
28.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 28.6%
Market Cap市值
$6B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
15.3x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.54
Moves about 0.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
43
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-22 (3d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
63th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
5.3% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | CHDN | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -1.8% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -4.3% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 4.9 points落后指数 4.9 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -9.0% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 13.7 points落后指数 13.7 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -21.5% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 29.3 points落后指数 29.3 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -25.0% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 34.1 points落后指数 34.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -20.7% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 40.1 points落后指数 40.1 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -36.8% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 106.2 points落后指数 106.2 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
43
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-3.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-12.1% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
63th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$83.50
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期
Earnings财务业绩
3
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-22
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | CHDN | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 15.26x | 20.23 | 66% |
| P/B市净率 | 5.79x | 2.97 | 28% |
| P/S市销率 | 2.00x | 1.23 | 33% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 6.55% | 4.53 | 70% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 7.32% | 4.31 | 78% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 11.75x | 11.48 | 46% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 22.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Margins利润率
37.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
5.1%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 5.38 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.60 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $427.8M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $30.2M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -5.3% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.4)
Warning警示
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 43% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 43% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.54×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.5× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.5 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -10.1%空头仓位变动 -10.1%
Technical技术面
CHDN broke down vs the marketCHDN 相对市场走弱
Signal History信号历史
DECLINE
DOWNTREND
Jul 17, 2026
CHDN broke down vs the marketCHDN 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $83.95.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$83.95。
Jul 16, 2026
CHDN StochRSI turned up from oversoldCHDN StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $86.29.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$86.29。
Jul 15, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A LOW下跌趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 13, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 8, 2026
CHDN daily MACD crossed downCHDN 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $85.30.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$85.30。
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 7, 2026
CHDN broke down vs the marketCHDN 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $86.23.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$86.23。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.16
Value价值
-0.4
Quality质量
-1.9
Investment资本投入
+0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.8
Low volatility低波动
+0.4
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.4
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.5
Company Profile公司档案
Churchill Downs Incorporated is the parent company of Churchill Downs. The company has evolved from one racetrack in Louisville, Kentucky, to a multi American-state-wide, publicly traded company with racetracks, casinos and an online wagering company among its portfolio of businesses.ChurchillDownsIncorporated是ChurchillDowns的母公司。该公司已从肯塔基州路易斯维尔的一条赛马场发展成一家跨美国多个州的上市公司，旗下业务包括赛马场、赌场和在线投注公司。
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。