Hormel Foods · Staples
HRL
$25.39
Hormel Foods Corporation, doing business as Hormel Foods or simply Hormel, is an American multinational food processing company founded in 1891 in Austin, Minnesota, by George A. Hormel as George A. Hormel & Company.HormelFoodsCorporation（以HormelFoods或简称为Hormel之名运营）是一家美国跨国食品加工公司，由乔治·A·霍梅尔于1891年在明尼苏达州奥斯汀以乔治·A·霍梅尔公司的名义创立。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~18 day(s) ago @ 23.82 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's mi日线转向已经完成——低点于约 18 天前形成 @ 23.82，且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认，因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场，而非待触发信号：可在此建半仓，或等待周线转向。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$25.39
11.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 11.0%
Beta贝塔
-0.07
Moves about -0.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
61
Elevated偏高
Volatility Rank波动率分位
76th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | HRL | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +3.9% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 5.4 points跑赢指数 5.4 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +5.6% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 5.0 points跑赢指数 5.0 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +19.8% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 15.1 points跑赢指数 15.1 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +6.3% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 1.5 points落后指数 1.5 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +11.5% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 2.4 points跑赢指数 2.4 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -11.0% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 30.4 points落后指数 30.4 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
61
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+9.4% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+10.9% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
76th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$25.10
Don't chase above不追高于
$25.62
Stop止损
$23.82
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 4.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -12.1%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
6.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 2.23 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.47 |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Beta市场敏感度
-0.07×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Consumer Staples (Equal-Weight) theme — #13 of 46 themes「必需消费（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 13 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
HRL StochRSI turned up from oversoldHRL StochRSI自超卖区上行
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.45%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±3.24%
Call wall看涨密集区
$27
Put wall看跌密集区
$24
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-37.3%
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.3M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.3M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gates Foundation Trust | D | Holding持有 | 0.1% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 15, 2026
HRL StochRSI turned up from oversoldHRL StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $25.15.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$25.15。
Jul 13, 2026
Golden cross on HRLHRL 金叉
The 50-day average crossed above the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bullish trend signal. $24.46.50日均线上穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看多趋势信号。$24.46。
Jul 1, 2026
HRL daily MACD crossed downHRL 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $24.59.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$24.59。
Jun 26, 2026
HRL took relative-strength leadershipHRL 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $26.20.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$26.20。
Jun 24, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 24, 2026
HRL daily MACD crossed upHRL 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $25.25.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$25.25。
Jun 24, 2026
HRL StochRSI turned up from oversoldHRL StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $25.25.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$25.25。
Jun 24, 2026
HRL RSI reached overboughtHRL RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $25.25.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$25.25。
Jun 23, 2026
TOPPING → UPTREND做顶中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 22, 2026
NEARING A LOW → TOPPING接近低点 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jun 22, 2026
HRL daily MACD crossed downHRL 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $23.82.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$23.82。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.02
Profitability盈利能力
-1.0
Quality质量
-0.0
Investment资本投入
+0.5
Low volatility低波动
+0.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.2
Company Profile公司档案
Hormel Foods Corporation, doing business as Hormel Foods or simply Hormel, is an American multinational food processing company founded in 1891 in Austin, Minnesota, by George A. Hormel as George A. Hormel & Company.HormelFoodsCorporation（以HormelFoods或简称为Hormel之名运营）是一家美国跨国食品加工公司，由乔治·A·霍梅尔于1891年在明尼苏达州奥斯汀以乔治·A·霍梅尔公司的名义创立。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。