Southwest Airlines · Industrials
LUV
$48.08
Southwest Airlines is a major airline in the United States. It is headquartered in the Love Field neighborhood of Dallas, Texas.西南航空公司是一家美国主要航空公司，总部设在得克萨斯州达拉斯的爱田机场附近。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Large cap大盘
$24B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
High-confluence leader (context)高共振 领先（参考）
Setup almost complete — likely buy trigger in ~1–3 trading days if it closes back above its 10-day average.形态接近完成——若收盘重新站上 10 日均线，预计将在约 1–3 个交易日内出现买入触发。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$48.08
11.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 11.9%
Market Cap市值
$24B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
53.6x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.47
Moves about 1.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.5 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
51
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-22 (3d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
17th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
6.3% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | LUV | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -0.7% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +3.0% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 2.4 points跑赢指数 2.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +12.6% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 7.9 points跑赢指数 7.9 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +12.0% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 4.2 points跑赢指数 4.2 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +16.9% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 7.8 points跑赢指数 7.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +33.7% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 14.3 points跑赢指数 14.3 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
51
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+7.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+17.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
17th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$47.57
Don't chase above不追高于
$48.49
Stop止损
$44.29
Buy soon — on confirmation即将买入 — 待确认
Earnings财务业绩
3
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-22
Estimates roughly stable预期基本稳定
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | LUV | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 53.57x | 29.89 | 19% |
| P/B市净率 | 2.96x | 3.90 | 65% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.84x | 2.21 | 82% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.87% | 3.10 | 27% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | -3.52% | 3.81 | 4% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 10.79% | 2.29 | 97% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 12.74x | 16.39 | 73% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 25.4%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
5.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
1.5%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 0.85 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.52 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $2.5B |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $99.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -17.1% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/7
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.3)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 49% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 49% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.47×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.5× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.5 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/7
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
LUV StochRSI turned up from oversoldLUV StochRSI自超卖区上行
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.88%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±6.43%
Call wall看涨密集区
$50
Put wall看跌密集区
$48
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-5.3%
Flow资金流向
$3M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 27 fresh positions; P/C 0.26; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $3M；0DTE占0%；27个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.26；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.3M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.3M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Investment Management | C | trimtrim | 5.7% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 17, 2026
LUV StochRSI turned up from oversoldLUV StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $48.08.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$48.08。
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 7, 2026
LUV daily MACD crossed downLUV 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $49.43.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$49.43。
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 2, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 29, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UPTREND接近高点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 26, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 97 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.49
Value价值
-0.1
Quality质量
-0.1
Investment资本投入
+1.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
+1.7
Low volatility低波动
-0.4
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.8
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.0
Company Profile公司档案
Southwest Airlines is a major airline in the United States. It is headquartered in the Love Field neighborhood of Dallas, Texas.西南航空公司是一家美国主要航空公司，总部设在得克萨斯州达拉斯的爱田机场附近。
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