Estée Lauder Companies (The) · Staples
EL
$82.13
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. is an American multinational cosmetics company, a manufacturer and marketer of makeup, skincare, perfume, and hair care products, based in Midtown Manhattan, New York City.雅诗兰黛公司是一家美国跨国化妆品公司，生产和销售彩妆、护肤品、香水和护发产品，总部位于纽约市曼哈顿中城。
High-beta momentum高贝塔动量
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
A normal mid-cycle dip below the 10-day average — the real cycle low isn't due for ~11+ trading days. Wait for support t这是跌破 10 日均线的正常周期中段回调——真正的周期低点要到约 11+ 个交易日后才会到来。等待支撑站稳，或等下一个低点构筑成形。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$82.13
30.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 30.9%
Beta贝塔
1.44
Moves about 1.4x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.4 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
48
Neutral zone中性区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
1th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | EL | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -0.6% | -1.5% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -0.4% | +0.6% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +8.2% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 3.5 points跑赢指数 3.5 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -28.1% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 35.9 points落后指数 35.9 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -22.5% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 31.6 points落后指数 31.6 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -3.7% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 23.1 points落后指数 23.1 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
48
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-1.8% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-10.8% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
1th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$80.41
Don't chase above不追高于
$82.13
Stop止损
$78.95
Wait for the pullback等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 0.0%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -66.32 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.30 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $35.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $304.0M |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/7
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Beta市场敏感度
1.44×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.4× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.4 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/7
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Consumer Staples (Equal-Weight) theme — #13 of 46 themes「必需消费（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 13 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.20%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±7.16%
Call wall看涨密集区
$90
Put wall看跌密集区
$75
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$93
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
3.3%
Skew: 偏斜：greed
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$1016.4M net (0 buyers, 7 sellers)-$1016.4M 净值（0 买家，7 卖家）
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scion Asset Mgmt (Burry) | A | exitexit | 0.0% | 2025-09-30 |
Signal History信号历史
BOTTOM WATCH
NEARING A LOW
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 13, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 9, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
EL StochRSI turned up from oversoldEL StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $83.71.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$83.71。
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A LOW → NEARING A HIGH接近低点 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 30, 2026
EL printed a daily-cycle lowEL 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $78.95.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$78.95。
Jun 30, 2026
EL broke down vs the marketEL 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $78.95.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$78.95。
Jun 23, 2026
TOPPING → NEARING A LOW做顶中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 23, 2026
EL StochRSI turned up from oversoldEL StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $83.76.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$83.76。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.44
Profitability盈利能力
+1.3
Investment资本投入
+0.5
Low volatility低波动
-0.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.8
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.2
Company Profile公司档案
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. is an American multinational cosmetics company, a manufacturer and marketer of makeup, skincare, perfume, and hair care products, based in Midtown Manhattan, New York City.雅诗兰黛公司是一家美国跨国化妆品公司，生产和销售彩妆、护肤品、香水和护发产品，总部位于纽约市曼哈顿中城。
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。