Dynatrace · Tech
DT
$44.41
Dynatrace, Inc. is an American multinational technology company that provides an AI-powered observability platform.Dynatrace,Inc.是一家美国跨国科技公司，提供基于AI的可观测性平台。
Quality compounder优质复利股
Large cap大盘
$13B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the daily momentum is already rollin筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且日线动量已开始掉头向下——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$44.41
18.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 18.8%
Market Cap市值
$13B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
81.6x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.64
Moves about 0.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
55
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-05 (17d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
67th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.5% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | DT | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +1.7% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 3.2 points跑赢指数 3.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +7.7% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 7.1 points跑赢指数 7.1 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +24.7% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 20.0 points跑赢指数 20.0 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +11.4% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 3.6 points跑赢指数 3.6 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +4.9% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 4.2 points落后指数 4.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -16.1% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 35.5 points落后指数 35.5 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -18.6% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 88.0 points落后指数 88.0 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
55
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+6.2% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+6.8% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
67th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$43.61
Don't chase above不追高于
$44.41
Stop止损
$40.28
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
17
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-05
Estimates being raised — 4 analysts预期上调 — 4 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | DT | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 81.62x | 40.17 | 23% |
| P/B市净率 | 4.84x | 5.85 | 56% |
| P/S市销率 | 6.59x | 4.85 | 35% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.23% | 2.19 | 34% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.26% | 3.05 | 54% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 3.60% | 2.16 | 71% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 61.85x | 29.30 | 22% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 30.70x | 30.46 | 49% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 24.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
5.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
4.0%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -5.12 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.40 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $271.7M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.1% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (6.1)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 38% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 38% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.64×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +14.8%空头仓位变动 +14.8%
Technical技术面
Golden cross on DTDT 金叉
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$5.1M net (1 buyers, 4 sellers)-$5.1M 净值（1 买家，4 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 16, 2026
Golden cross on DTDT 金叉
The 50-day average crossed above the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bullish trend signal. $44.83.50日均线上穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看多趋势信号。$44.83。
Jul 16, 2026
DT daily MACD crossed downDT 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $44.83.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$44.83。
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 14, 2026
NEARING A LOW → BOTTOMING接近低点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 13, 2026
DT took relative-strength leadershipDT 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $44.59.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$44.59。
Jul 10, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → NEARING A LOW接近高点 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 9, 2026
DT took relative-strength leadershipDT 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $45.23.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$45.23。
Jul 7, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 263 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.03
Value价值
-0.8
Profitability盈利能力
+0.5
Quality质量
+0.7
Investment资本投入
-0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.1
Low volatility低波动
-0.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.9
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.1
Company Profile公司档案
Dynatrace, Inc. is an American multinational technology company that provides an AI-powered observability platform.Dynatrace,Inc.是一家美国跨国科技公司，提供基于AI的可观测性平台。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。