TRMB Trimble Inc. · $52.72 Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势 Terminal终端 ↗

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Trimble Inc. · Tech

TRMB

$52.72
Trimble Inc. is an American software, hardware, and services technology company that was founded in 1978.TrimbleInc.（天宝公司）是一家成立于1978年的美国软件、硬件及服务科技公司。
Mixed profile混合特征 Large cap大盘 $12B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 48.87.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 48.87 下方。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$52.72
38.2% below 52-week high低于52周高点 38.2%
Market Cap市值
$12B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
29.3x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.24
Moves about 1.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
50
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-05 (17d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
19th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.7% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 TRMB S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -0.2% -1.5% Beat the index by 1.3 points跑赢指数 1.3 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +7.9% +0.6% Beat the index by 7.3 points跑赢指数 7.3 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -23.9% +4.7% Lagged the index by 28.6 points落后指数 28.6 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -28.7% +7.8% Lagged the index by 36.5 points落后指数 36.5 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -32.7% +9.1% Lagged the index by 41.8 points落后指数 41.8 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -35.7% +19.4% Lagged the index by 55.1 points落后指数 55.1 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 50 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -1.9% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -23.1% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 19th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$52.14
Don't chase above不追高于
$52.72
Stop止损
$48.87
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望

Earnings财务业绩

17
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-05

Estimates being raised — 13 analysts预期上调 — 13 位分析师

Post-earnings drift: -13.2% (20d)财报后漂移：-13.2%（20日）

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 TRMB Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 29.34x 40.17
64%
P/B市净率 2.13x 5.85
85%
P/S市销率 3.47x 4.85
62%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 3.41% 2.19
69%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 2.90% 3.05
48%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 6.94% 2.16
86%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 17.15x 29.30
69%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 34.47x 30.46
43%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$3.2B
2020
$3.7B
2021
$3.7B
2022
$3.8B
2023
$3.7B
2024
$3.6B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 2.6%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$1.55
2020
$1.94
2021
$1.80
2022
$1.25
2023
$6.09
2024
$1.76
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 2.6%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$615.2M
2020
$704.4M
2021
$348.0M
2022
$555.1M
2023
$497.8M
2024
$360.9M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
69.1%
Operating margin营业利润率
16.5%
Net margin净利率
11.8%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
10.8%
7.3%Return on Equity股本回报率
4.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA1.44
Current ratio流动比率1.09
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$863.4M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$146.5M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-4.0%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (3.3) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 66% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 66% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.24×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Technology (Equal-Weight) theme — #23 of 46 themes「信息技术（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 23 位
Macro宏观 Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +10.2%空头仓位变动 +10.2%
Technical技术面 UNCONFIRMED TURN → UPTREND未确认转向 → 上涨趋势

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.95%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±6.60%
Call wall看涨密集区
$60
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
1.6%
Flow资金流向

$0M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 1 fresh positions; P/C 0.77; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $0M；0DTE占0%；1个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.77；≈偏看涨（方向近似）

Skew: 偏斜：greed

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$4.2M net (0 buyers, 6 sellers)-$4.2M 净值（0 买家，6 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

UPTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN上涨趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum curling up; investor cycle failed (broke its start low); investor cycle overdue; last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量开始上翘；投资者周期失败（跌破起始低点）；投资者周期已逾期；上一周期左移（见顶偏早））。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 8, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → UPTREND未确认转向 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 30, 2026
UPTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN上涨趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 24, 2026
DOWNTREND → UPTREND下跌趋势 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 24, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 24, 2026
TRMB daily MACD crossed upTRMB 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $50.14.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$50.14。
Jun 24, 2026
TRMB StochRSI turned up from oversoldTRMB StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $50.14.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$50.14。
Jun 17, 2026
TRMB printed a daily-cycle lowTRMB 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $48.87.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$48.87。
Jun 17, 2026
TRMB made a new 52-week lowTRMB 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $48.87.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$48.87。
Jun 10, 2026
TRMB daily MACD crossed downTRMB 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $50.60.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$50.60。
Jun 10, 2026
TRMB RSI reached oversoldTRMB RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $50.60.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$50.60。
Jun 5, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 5, 2026
TRMB made a new 52-week lowTRMB 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $54.19.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$54.19。
Jun 3, 2026
TRMB broke down vs the marketTRMB 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $55.52.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$55.52。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 87 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.23
Value价值
-0.2
Profitability盈利能力
-0.3
Quality质量
-0.1
Investment资本投入
+0.6
Shareholder payout股东回报
+0.7
Low volatility低波动
+0.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.5
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.9
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.5

Company Profile公司档案

Trimble Inc. is an American software, hardware, and services technology company that was founded in 1978.TrimbleInc.（天宝公司）是一家成立于1978年的美国软件、硬件及服务科技公司。
Demand chain:需求链： Contracted bookings (RPO) accelerating (+18% YoY to ~$2B, 0.6× revenue) — signed demand locked in ahead of recognition已签约订单（RPO）加速（同比+18%，约 $2B，覆盖营收 0.6 倍）——已锁定、尚未确认的需求
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Receivables stretch
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