Guidewire Software · Tech
GWRE
$150.02
Guidewire Software, Inc., commonly Guidewire, is an American software company based in San Mateo, California. It offers an industry platform for property and casualty (P&C) insurance carriers in the U.S. and worldwide.Guidewire软件公司（通常简称Guidewire）是一家美国软件公司，总部位于加利福尼亚州圣马特奥市，为美国及全球财产与意外险保险公司提供行业平台。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Large cap大盘
$13B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~18 day(s) ago @ 102.69 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's m日线转向已经完成——低点于约 18 天前形成 @ 102.69，且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认，因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场，而非待触发信号：可在此建半仓，或等待周线转向。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$150.02
42.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 42.7%
Market Cap市值
$13B
Normal volume正常成交量
Beta贝塔
0.55
Moves about 0.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
68
Elevated偏高
Volatility Rank波动率分位
58th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
6.8% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | GWRE | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +10.2% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 11.7 points跑赢指数 11.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +34.9% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 34.3 points跑赢指数 34.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +6.9% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 2.2 points跑赢指数 2.2 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -5.6% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 13.4 points落后指数 13.4 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -20.0% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 29.1 points落后指数 29.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -32.2% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 51.6 points落后指数 51.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +89.0% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 19.6 points跑赢指数 19.6 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
68
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+13.4% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-10.7% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
58th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$147.85
Don't chase above不追高于
$151.70
Stop止损
$102.70
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being raised — 14 analysts预期上调 — 14 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | GWRE | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/B市净率 | 8.39x | 5.85 | 33% |
| P/S市销率 | 10.55x | 4.85 | 19% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.33% | 3.05 | 40% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.00% | 2.16 | 3% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 184.85x | 29.30 | 6% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 42.97x | 30.46 | 34% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 10.1%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -10.77 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.77 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $161.6M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +1.8% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (6.7)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 24% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 24% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.55×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.6 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$16.1M net (0 buyers, 6 sellers)-$16.1M 净值（0 买家，6 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 7, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jun 29, 2026
GWRE daily MACD crossed upGWRE 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $120.87.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$120.87。
Jun 26, 2026
DOWNTREND → BOTTOMING下跌趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 25, 2026
GWRE StochRSI turned up from oversoldGWRE StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $110.10.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$110.10。
Jun 22, 2026
GWRE printed a daily-cycle lowGWRE 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $102.69.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$102.69。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.63
Value价值
-1.1
Profitability盈利能力
-0.2
Investment资本投入
+0.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
-1.0
Low volatility低波动
-1.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.4
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.5
Company Profile公司档案
Guidewire Software, Inc., commonly Guidewire, is an American software company based in San Mateo, California. It offers an industry platform for property and casualty (P&C) insurance carriers in the U.S. and worldwide.Guidewire软件公司（通常简称Guidewire）是一家美国软件公司，总部位于加利福尼亚州圣马特奥市，为美国及全球财产与意外险保险公司提供行业平台。
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