DBX Dropbox · $30.62 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

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Dropbox · Tech

DBX

$30.62
Dropbox is a file hosting service operated by the American company Dropbox, Inc., headquartered in San Francisco, California, that offers cloud storage, file synchronization, personal cloud, and client software.Dropbox是由美国公司Dropbox,Inc.运营的文件托管服务，总部位于加利福尼亚州旧金山，提供云存储、文件同步、个人云和客户端软件。
Quality compounder优质复利股
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (overbought (daily RSI 71)). Don't cha已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（已超买（日线 RSI 71））。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$30.62
4.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 4.8%
Beta贝塔
0.40
Moves about 0.4x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.4 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
71
Overbought超买区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-06 (18d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
66th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Performance价格表现

Period周期 DBX S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +4.9% -1.5% Beat the index by 6.4 points跑赢指数 6.4 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +15.9% +0.6% Beat the index by 15.3 points跑赢指数 15.3 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +26.2% +4.7% Beat the index by 21.5 points跑赢指数 21.5 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +17.2% +7.8% Beat the index by 9.4 points跑赢指数 9.4 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +13.7% +9.1% Beat the index by 4.6 points跑赢指数 4.6 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +13.7% +19.4% Lagged the index by 5.7 points落后指数 5.7 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +9.2% +69.4% Lagged the index by 60.2 points落后指数 60.2 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 71 Overbought超买区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +11.4% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +13.6% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 66th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$28.89
Don't chase above不追高于
$30.62
Stop止损
$25.08
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

18
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-06

Estimates being raised — 6 analysts预期上调 — 6 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$1.9B
2020
$2.2B
2021
$2.3B
2022
$2.5B
2023
$2.5B
2024
$2.5B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 5.7%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$-0.62
2020
$0.85
2021
$1.52
2022
$1.31
2023
$1.40
2024
$1.86
2025
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$490.7M
2020
$707.7M
2021
$763.5M
2022
$759.4M
2023
$871.6M
2024
$930.8M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
80.1%
Operating margin营业利润率
27.3%
Net margin净利率
20.2%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
37.8%
-28.3%Return on Equity股本回报率
17.9%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-1.09
Current ratio流动比率0.63
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$1.7B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$300.8M
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/7 Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Beta市场敏感度
0.40×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.4× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.4 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/7
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 DBX RSI reached overboughtDBX RSI进入超买

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$22.6M net (0 buyers, 7 sellers)-$22.6M 净值（0 买家，7 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~15 day(s) ago @ 25.08) and overbought (daily RSI 71). A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发（摆动低点出现、动量转向上行），但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点（约 15 天前形成 @ 25.08）且已超买（日线 RSI 71）。动量交叉属于滞后确认：在垂直拉升之后，只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发，因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高，而非新的买入
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 16, 2026
DBX RSI reached overboughtDBX RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $30.45.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$30.45。
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 13, 2026
Golden cross on DBXDBX 金叉
The 50-day average crossed above the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bullish trend signal. $29.58.50日均线上穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看多趋势信号。$29.58。
Jul 7, 2026
DBX took relative-strength leadershipDBX 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $28.85.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$28.85。
Jul 1, 2026
DBX daily MACD crossed upDBX 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $28.41.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$28.41。
Jun 29, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 29, 2026
DBX reclaimed its 200-day averageDBX 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $27.40.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$27.40。
Jun 26, 2026
NEARING A LOW → NEARING A HIGH接近低点 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 268 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 1.68
Profitability盈利能力
+2.2
Quality质量
+2.9
Investment资本投入
+1.4
Low volatility低波动
+0.3
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.6
Earnings quality盈利质量
+1.6
Short interest空头兴趣
-1.9

Company Profile公司档案

Dropbox is a file hosting service operated by the American company Dropbox, Inc., headquartered in San Francisco, California, that offers cloud storage, file synchronization, personal cloud, and client software.Dropbox是由美国公司Dropbox,Inc.运营的文件托管服务，总部位于加利福尼亚州旧金山，提供云存储、文件同步、个人云和客户端软件。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Receivables stretch
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