Axcelis Technologies, Inc. · Tech
ACLS
$136.42
Axcelis Technologies, Inc. is an American company engaging in the design, manufacture, and servicing of capital equipment for the semiconductor manufacturing industry worldwide.AxcelisTechnologies,Inc.是一家美国公司，在全球范围内从事半导体制造行业资本设备的设计、制造和维修服务。
High-beta momentum高贝塔动量
Mid cap中盘
$4B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Avoid — downtrend回避 — 下行趋势
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$136.42
28.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 28.8%
Market Cap市值
$4B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
34.9x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
2.46
Moves about 2.5x the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.5 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
41
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
96th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
6.2% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | ACLS | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -4.8% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 3.3 points落后指数 3.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -22.2% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 22.8 points落后指数 22.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +14.9% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 10.2 points跑赢指数 10.2 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +46.5% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 38.7 points跑赢指数 38.7 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +58.4% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 49.3 points跑赢指数 49.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +90.7% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 71.3 points跑赢指数 71.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -28.8% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 98.2 points落后指数 98.2 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
41
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-14.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+25.3% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
96th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$131.50
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期
Earnings财务业绩
16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: -9.5% (20d)财报后漂移：-9.5%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | ACLS | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 34.85x | 40.17 | 54% |
| P/B市净率 | 4.05x | 5.85 | 61% |
| P/S市销率 | 4.99x | 4.85 | 49% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.87% | 2.19 | 60% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.55% | 3.05 | 45% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 2.89% | 2.16 | 60% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 29.54x | 29.30 | 49% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 39.16x | 30.46 | 39% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 12.1%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 21.1%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
11.6%Return on Equity股本回报率
8.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -1.06 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 4.77 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $121.1M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $20.8M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -5.1% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (9.8)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 52% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 52% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
2.46×
0.21×3×
Moves about 2.5× the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.5 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Semiconductor Equipment (WFE) theme — #38 of 46 themes「半导体设备（晶圆厂设备）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 38 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
ACLS weekly MACD crossed downACLS 周线MACD下穿
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±6.35%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±14.20%
Call wall看涨密集区
$150
Put wall看跌密集区
$130
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
6.8%
Flow资金流向
$1M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 3 fresh positions; P/C 2.92; ~leans bearish/hedging (direction approx)成交权利金 $1M；0DTE占0%；3个新建仓；看跌看涨比 2.92；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：greed
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.6M net (0 buyers, 3 sellers)-$0.6M 净值（0 买家，3 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
DECLINE
DOWNTREND
Jul 17, 2026
ACLS weekly MACD crossed downACLS 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 15, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 13, 2026
ACLS StochRSI turned up from oversoldACLS StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $136.56.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$136.56。
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → DOWNTREND筑底中 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 1, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 29, 2026
TOPPING → NEARING A LOW做顶中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 251 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.51
Value价值
-0.6
Profitability盈利能力
-0.2
Quality质量
-0.7
Investment资本投入
+0.5
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.3
Low volatility低波动
-1.7
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-2.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.8
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.4
Company Profile公司档案
Axcelis Technologies, Inc. is an American company engaging in the design, manufacture, and servicing of capital equipment for the semiconductor manufacturing industry worldwide.AxcelisTechnologies,Inc.是一家美国公司，在全球范围内从事半导体制造行业资本设备的设计、制造和维修服务。
Demand chain:需求链： Hyperscaler capex accelerating (+69% YoY to ~$379B) — the demand pool for wafer-fab equipment (one step back, longer lead)云厂商资本开支加速（同比+69%，约 $379B）——晶圆制造设备（上游一环，前置更长）的需求来源
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Inventory build
- Capital intensity rising
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。