CWST Casella Waste Systems, Inc. · $95.70 Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势 Terminal终端
Casella Waste Systems, Inc. · Industrials

CWST

$95.70
Casella Waste Systems, Inc. is a waste management company based in Rutland, Vermont, United States.CasellaWasteSystems,Inc.是一家总部位于美国佛蒙特州拉特兰的废物管理公司。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum is rolling筑底形态尚未确认(价格仍位于 10 日均线下方),且3 日/周线动量已开始掉头向下——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$95.70
13.9% below 52-week high低于52周高点 13.9%
Beta贝塔
0.18
Moves about 0.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
54
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
78th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Performance价格表现

Period周期 CWST S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -1.2% -1.5% In line with the index与指数基本持平
1 Month近1月 +11.1% +0.6% Beat the index by 10.5 points跑赢指数 10.5 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +17.8% +4.7% Beat the index by 13.1 points跑赢指数 13.1 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -9.8% +7.8% Lagged the index by 17.6 points落后指数 17.6 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -3.0% +9.1% Lagged the index by 12.1 points落后指数 12.1 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -12.7% +19.4% Lagged the index by 32.1 points落后指数 32.1 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +12.1% +69.4% Lagged the index by 57.3 points落后指数 57.3 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 54 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +7.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +4.3% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 78th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$94.63
Don't chase above不追高于
$95.70
Stop止损
$84.58
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$774.6M
2020
$889.2M
2021
$1.1B
2022
$1.3B
2023
$1.6B
2024
$1.8B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 18.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$1.86
2020
$0.80
2021
$1.03
2022
$0.46
2023
$0.23
2024
$0.12
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -42.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$31.8M
2020
$59.4M
2021
$86.4M
2022
$78.2M
2023
$78.1M
2024
$84.7M
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
3.5%
Net margin净利率
0.4%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
18.0%
0.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
0.2%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.33
Current ratio流动比率1.26
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/7 Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Beta市场敏感度
0.18×
0.2
Moves about 0.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/7
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场/成长beta体现,并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 CWST daily MACD crossed downCWST 日线MACD下穿

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$2.6M net (0 buyers, 7 sellers)-$2.6M 净值(0 买家,7 卖家)

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. Buyers rejected the 2026-06-22 low (swing low printed) but price hasn't reclaimed its 10-day average — first box ticked, not all买入预备。买方拒绝了 2026-06-22 的低点(摆动低点已现),但价格尚未收复 10 日均线——第一项条件达成,并非全部
TURN SIGNALED BOTTOMING
Jul 17, 2026
CWST daily MACD crossed downCWST 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $95.70.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$95.70。
Jul 16, 2026
CWST took relative-strength leadershipCWST 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $99.91.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$99.91。
Jul 16, 2026
CWST daily MACD crossed upCWST 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $99.91.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$99.91。
Jul 15, 2026
CWST daily MACD crossed downCWST 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $96.31.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$96.31。
Jul 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备

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Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.41
Quality质量
+0.6
Investment资本投入
+0.4
Low volatility低波动
+0.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.9
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.9
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.8

Company Profile公司档案

Casella Waste Systems, Inc. is a waste management company based in Rutland, Vermont, United States.CasellaWasteSystems,Inc.是一家总部位于美国佛蒙特州拉特兰的废物管理公司。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Margin compression despite revenue growth
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