CNM Core & Main · $45.24 Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势 Terminal终端 ↗

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Core & Main · Industrials

CNM

$45.24
Core & Main, headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri, distributes products used for water, wastewater, storm drainage, and fire protection in the United States.Core&Main总部位于密苏里州圣路易斯，在美国分销用于供水、废水、雨水排放和消防保护的产品。
Secular growth长期成长
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 44.66.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 44.66 下方。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$45.24
32.5% below 52-week high低于52周高点 32.5%
Beta贝塔
1.09
Moves about 1.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
43
Neutral zone中性区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
81th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数

Performance价格表现

Period周期 CNM S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -1.4% -1.5% In line with the index与指数基本持平
1 Month近1月 -2.6% +0.6% Lagged the index by 3.2 points落后指数 3.2 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -10.9% +4.7% Lagged the index by 15.6 points落后指数 15.6 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -22.7% +7.8% Lagged the index by 30.5 points落后指数 30.5 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -15.3% +9.1% Lagged the index by 24.4 points落后指数 24.4 个百分点
1 Year近1年 -26.9% +19.4% Lagged the index by 46.3 points落后指数 46.3 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +43.3% +69.4% Lagged the index by 26.1 points落后指数 26.1 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 43 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -5.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -11.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 81th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$44.09
Don't chase above不追高于
$45.24
Stop止损
$44.66
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望

Earnings财务业绩

Estimates roughly stable预期基本稳定

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$5.0B
2021
$6.7B
2022
$7.6B
2023
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 23.6%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$0.55
2021
$2.13
2022
$2.31
2023
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 104.9%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
-$51.0M
2021
$376.0M
2022
$604.0M
2023
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
26.9%
Operating margin营业利润率
9.4%
Net margin净利率
6.0%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
8.5%
23.1%Return on Equity股本回报率
7.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA2.11
Current ratio流动比率2.63
Capital Allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$155.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$17.0M
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 3/8 Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Beta市场敏感度
1.09×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
3/8
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓 Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面 CNM StochRSI turned up from oversoldCNM StochRSI自超卖区上行

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Concentrated ownership集中持仓
Fund基金 Grade评级 Activity动作 % of portfolio组合占比 As of截至
Soros Fund Management B trimtrim 0.2% 2026-03-31
D1 Capital Partners A exitexit 0.0% 2026-03-31

Signal History信号历史

DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum just crossed down; investor cycle failed (broke its start low); last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量刚刚向下交叉；投资者周期失败（跌破起始低点）；上一周期左移（见顶偏早））。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 16, 2026
CNM StochRSI turned up from oversoldCNM StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $45.78.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$45.78。
Jul 15, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 14, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 13, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 7, 2026
CNM StochRSI turned up from oversoldCNM StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $45.75.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$45.75。
Jul 6, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 3, 2026
CNM weekly MACD crossed downCNM 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 254 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.02
Profitability盈利能力
+0.1
Quality质量
-0.4
Investment资本投入
+0.3
Low volatility低波动
-0.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.3
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.6

Company Profile公司档案

Core & Main, headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri, distributes products used for water, wastewater, storm drainage, and fire protection in the United States.Core&Main总部位于密苏里州圣路易斯，在美国分销用于供水、废水、雨水排放和消防保护的产品。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Margin compression despite revenue growth
  • Capital intensity rising
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