Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
Trend intact — hold; add on dips toward the 10-day average.趋势完好——持有；可在回调至 10 日均线附近时加仓。
Price Chart价格图表
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$147.36
13.5% below 52-week high低于52周高点 13.5%
Beta贝塔
-0.44
Moves about -0.4x the market波动幅度约为市场的 -0.4 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
59
Neutral zone中性区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
57th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | XOM | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +6.1% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 7.6 points跑赢指数 7.6 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +4.7% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 4.1 points跑赢指数 4.1 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +1.3% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 3.4 points落后指数 3.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +15.0% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 7.2 points跑赢指数 7.2 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +21.8% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 12.7 points跑赢指数 12.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +36.2% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 16.8 points跑赢指数 16.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +61.4% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 8.0 points落后指数 8.0 个百分点 |
| 5 Years近5年 | +209.0% | +83.9% | Beat the index by 125.1 points跑赢指数 125.1 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
Active signals活跃信号
Golden Cross (7/35)Long-term Rising Trend1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers)Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutralInsider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis)
RSI (14)RSI（14）
59
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+1.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+8.5% vs 200-day avg
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
20
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility rank波动率分位
57th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$141.05
Don't chase above不追高于
$147.40
Stop止损
$136.10
Hold — don't add here持有 — 此处不宜加仓
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being raised — 20 analysts预期上调 — 20 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Beta市场敏感度
-0.44×
0.21×3×
Has tended to move opposite the market (factor-adjusted)经因子调整后常与大盘反向波动
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
US Energy Complex theme — #2 of 46 themes「美国能源综合」主题 — 46 个主题中第 2 位
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.06%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.61%
Call wall看涨密集区
$150
Put wall看跌密集区
$135
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$133
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
3.4%
Flow资金流向
$30M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 49 fresh positions; P/C 0.4; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $30M；0DTE占0%；49个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.4；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：greed
Signal History信号历史
RALLY ON
UPTREND
Jul 10, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 9, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 9, 2026
XOM broke down vs the marketXOM 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $137.46.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$137.46。
Jul 7, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 7, 2026
XOM daily MACD crossed upXOM 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $141.69.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$141.69。
Jul 2, 2026
XOM StochRSI turned up from oversoldXOM StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $137.09.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$137.09。
Jun 29, 2026
XOM printed a daily-cycle lowXOM 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $136.06.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$136.06。
Jun 15, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 11, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 11, 2026
XOM broke down vs the marketXOM 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $146.60.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$146.60。
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。