WMS Advanced Drainage Systems · $147.55 Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势 Terminal终端 ↗

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Advanced Drainage Systems · Industrials

WMS

$147.55
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.AdvancedDrainageSystems,Inc.（先进排水系统公司）
Rate-sensitive利率敏感 Large cap大盘 $11B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum is rolling筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且3 日/周线动量已开始掉头向下——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$147.55
15.7% below 52-week high低于52周高点 15.7%
Market Cap市值
$11B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
25.1x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.30
Moves about 1.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
51
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-06 (18d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
81th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
4.3% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 WMS S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -1.9% -1.5% In line with the index与指数基本持平
1 Month近1月 +6.0% +0.6% Beat the index by 5.4 points跑赢指数 5.4 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -3.7% +4.7% Lagged the index by 8.4 points落后指数 8.4 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -7.1% +7.8% Lagged the index by 14.9 points落后指数 14.9 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -1.1% +9.1% Lagged the index by 10.2 points落后指数 10.2 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +31.7% +19.4% Beat the index by 12.3 points跑赢指数 12.3 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +22.2% +69.4% Lagged the index by 47.2 points落后指数 47.2 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 51 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +3.8% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +0.2% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 81th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$144.15
Don't chase above不追高于
$147.60
Stop止损
$134.90
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

18
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-06

Estimates being cut预期下调

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 WMS Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 25.13x 29.89
62%
P/B市净率 5.59x 3.90
34%
P/S市销率 3.53x 2.21
32%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 3.98% 3.10
66%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 3.42% 3.81
43%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 1.37% 2.29
31%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 13.77x 16.39
65%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 29.25x 25.50
38%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$2.0B
2021
$2.8B
2022
$3.1B
2023
$2.9B
2024
$2.9B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 10.0%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$2.59
2021
$3.15
2022
$6.08
2023
$6.45
2024
$5.76
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 22.1%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$373.5M
2021
$125.8M
2022
$540.9M
2023
$534.1M
2024
$368.5M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
38.3%
Operating margin营业利润率
22.6%
Net margin净利率
14.1%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
26.9%
22.2%Return on Equity股本回报率
10.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA0.95
Current ratio流动比率3.33
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$26.6M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+1.9%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/9 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (5.4) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 47% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 47% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.30×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.3× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.3 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$14.8M net (0 buyers, 4 sellers)-$14.8M 净值（0 买家，4 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. Buyers rejected the 2026-06-12 low (swing low printed) but price hasn't reclaimed its 10-day average — first box ticked, not all. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell买入预备。买方拒绝了 2026-06-12 的低点（摆动低点已现），但价格尚未收复 10 日均线——第一项条件达成，并非全部。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
TURN SIGNALED BOTTOMING
Jul 14, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 13, 2026
WMS StochRSI turned up from oversoldWMS StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $147.62.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$147.62。
Jul 9, 2026
WMS reclaimed its 200-day averageWMS 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $147.85.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$147.85。
Jul 9, 2026
WMS daily MACD crossed downWMS 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $147.85.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$147.85。
Jul 8, 2026
WMS lost its 200-day averageWMS 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $145.05.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$145.05。
Jul 7, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 30, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 26, 2026
WMS weekly MACD crossed upWMS 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 243 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.25
Value价值
-0.6
Profitability盈利能力
-0.2
Quality质量
+0.5
Investment资本投入
-0.4
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.7
Low volatility低波动
-0.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.6
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.9
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.5

Company Profile公司档案

Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.AdvancedDrainageSystems,Inc.（先进排水系统公司）
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Capital intensity rising
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