Valmont Industries · Industrials
VMI
$531.66
Valmont Industries, Inc. is a large, publicly held American manufacturer of Valley center pivot and linear irrigation equipment, windmill support structures, lighting and traffic poles and steel utility poles.ValmontIndustries,Inc.是一家大型美国上市公司，生产Valley中心支轴和线性灌溉设备、风力发电机支撑结构、照明和交通杆以及钢制电线杆。
Cyclical周期股
Large cap大盘
$10B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum has crosse筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且3 日/周线动量已向下交叉——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$531.66
8.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 8.8%
Market Cap市值
$10B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
29.9x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.24
Moves about 1.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
43
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-28 (9d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
65th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.4% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | VMI | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -2.8% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 1.3 points落后指数 1.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -5.8% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 6.4 points落后指数 6.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +28.8% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 24.1 points跑赢指数 24.1 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +20.1% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 12.3 points跑赢指数 12.3 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +29.4% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 20.3 points跑赢指数 20.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +59.0% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 39.6 points跑赢指数 39.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +94.5% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 25.1 points跑赢指数 25.1 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
43
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-1.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+17.3% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
65th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$521.85
Don't chase above不追高于
$531.70
Stop止损
$527.90
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
9
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-28
Estimates being raised — 4 analysts预期上调 — 4 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | VMI | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 29.90x | 29.89 | 50% |
| P/B市净率 | 6.41x | 3.90 | 29% |
| P/S市销率 | 2.55x | 2.21 | 45% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.34% | 3.10 | 55% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.97% | 3.81 | 35% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 2.39% | 2.29 | 52% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 21.98x | 16.39 | 27% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 33.63x | 25.50 | 29% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 8.3%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 31.9%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
21.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
10.4%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 1.21 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.35 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $198.1M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $24.3M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -1.7% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (6.9)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 37% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 37% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.24×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -21.7%空头仓位变动 -21.7%
Technical技术面
VMI took relative-strength leadershipVMI 取得相对强弱领先
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.1M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.1M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 6, 2026
VMI took relative-strength leadershipVMI 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $564.07.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$564.07。
Jul 1, 2026
VMI daily MACD crossed downVMI 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $559.02.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$559.02。
Jun 30, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 25, 2026
VMI made a new 52-week highVMI 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $582.78.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$582.78。
Jun 23, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UPTREND接近高点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 22, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 22, 2026
VMI RSI reached overboughtVMI RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $582.23.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$582.23。
Jun 17, 2026
VMI daily MACD crossed upVMI 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $564.56.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$564.56。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 235 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.04
Value价值
-0.6
Profitability盈利能力
+0.3
Quality质量
+0.0
Investment资本投入
+0.4
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.4
Low volatility低波动
+0.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.5
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.1
Company Profile公司档案
Valmont Industries, Inc. is a large, publicly held American manufacturer of Valley center pivot and linear irrigation equipment, windmill support structures, lighting and traffic poles and steel utility poles.ValmontIndustries,Inc.是一家大型美国上市公司，生产Valley中心支轴和线性灌溉设备、风力发电机支撑结构、照明和交通杆以及钢制电线杆。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Capital intensity rising
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