HII Huntington Ingalls Industries · $269.13 Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利 Terminal终端
Huntington Ingalls Industries · Industrials

HII

$269.13
Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc., (HII) is the largest military shipbuilding company in the United States as well as a provider of professional services to partners in government and industry. HII was formed on March 31, 2011, as a divestiture from...亨廷顿英戈尔斯工业公司(HII)是美国最大的军用造船企业,同时为政府和行业合作伙伴提供专业服务。HII于2011年3月31日从诺斯罗普·格鲁曼公司剥离成立。
Cyclical周期股 Large cap大盘 $11B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望,直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Open in Terminal打开终端 All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$269.13
40.4% below 52-week high低于52周高点 40.4%
Market Cap市值
$11B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
17.5x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.69
Moves about 0.7x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
31
Depressed偏低
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
30th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.3% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 HII S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -5.9% -1.5% Lagged the index by 4.4 points落后指数 4.4 个百分点
1 Month近1月 -9.4% +0.6% Lagged the index by 10.0 points落后指数 10.0 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -31.5% +4.7% Lagged the index by 36.2 points落后指数 36.2 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -36.3% +7.8% Lagged the index by 44.1 points落后指数 44.1 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -22.5% +9.1% Lagged the index by 31.6 points落后指数 31.6 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +7.2% +19.4% Lagged the index by 12.2 points落后指数 12.2 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI(14) 31 Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线 -9.9% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -22.0% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 30th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$269.10
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期

Earnings财务业绩

11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30

Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师

Post-earnings drift: -12.1% (20d)财报后漂移:-12.1%(20日)

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 HII Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 17.46x 29.89
82%
P/B市净率 2.08x 3.90
79%
P/S市销率 0.85x 2.21
82%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 5.73% 3.10
84%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 7.52% 3.81
86%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 2.02% 2.29
45%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 9.93x 16.39
83%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 13.30x 25.50
84%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$9.4B
2020
$9.5B
2021
$10.7B
2022
$11.5B
2023
$11.5B
2024
$12.5B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 5.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$17.14
2020
$13.50
2021
$14.44
2022
$17.07
2023
$13.96
2024
$15.39
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -2.1%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$740.0M
2020
$429.0M
2021
$482.0M
2022
$678.0M
2023
$26.0M
2024
$794.0M
2025
Margins利润率
Operating margin营业利润率
5.3%
Net margin净利率
4.8%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
9.6%
11.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
4.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.78
Current ratio流动比率1.13
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$54.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)+0.3%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/7 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.6) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 82% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 82% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.69×
0.2
Moves about 0.7× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/7
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Sector / Theme行业/主题 Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业(等权)」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观 Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场/成长beta体现,并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +11.4%空头仓位变动 +11.4%
Technical技术面 HII daily MACD crossed downHII 日线MACD下穿

Options Positioning期权持仓

Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛,价格波动可能被放大

Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.87%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±6.42%
Call wall看涨密集区
$300
Put wall看跌密集区
$270
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-4.4%
Flow资金流向

$0M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 1 fresh positions; P/C 1.13; ~leans bearish (direction approx)成交权利金 $0M;0DTE占0%;1个新建仓;看跌看涨比 1.13;≈偏看跌/对冲(方向近似)

Skew: 偏斜:fear

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$13.2M net (0 buyers, 8 sellers)-$13.2M 净值(0 买家,8 卖家)

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID. Failed cycle — price broke below the low that started this cycle, which historically means the larger trend is rolling over (~80% of cases). Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell回避。失败周期——价格跌破了启动本周期的低点,历史上这通常意味着更大的趋势正在掉头向下(约 80% 的情形)。 上一周期为左移结构(见顶偏早)——属于看空的结构性信号
DECLINE DOWNTREND
Jul 17, 2026
HII daily MACD crossed downHII 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $269.13.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$269.13。
Jul 14, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A LOW下跌趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 13, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 9, 2026
HII broke down vs the marketHII 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $286.21.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$286.21。
Jul 2, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 29, 2026
HII printed a daily-cycle lowHII 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $277.39.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$277.39。
Jun 22, 2026
HII RSI reached oversoldHII RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $278.19.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$278.19。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条,共 101 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.11
Value价值
+0.4
Quality质量
+0.2
Investment资本投入
+0.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.5
Low volatility低波动
+0.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.0
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.2

Company Profile公司档案

Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc., (HII) is the largest military shipbuilding company in the United States as well as a provider of professional services to partners in government and industry. HII was formed on March 31, 2011, as a divestiture from...亨廷顿英戈尔斯工业公司(HII)是美国最大的军用造船企业,同时为政府和行业合作伙伴提供专业服务。HII于2011年3月31日从诺斯罗普·格鲁曼公司剥离成立。
Demand chain:需求链: Contracted bookings (RPO) accelerating (+9% YoY to ~$53B, 4.3× revenue) — signed demand locked in ahead of recognition已签约订单(RPO)加速(同比+9%,约 $53B,覆盖营收 4.3 倍)——已锁定、尚未确认的需求
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Receivables stretch
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