Huntington Ingalls Industries · Industrials
HII
$269.13
Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc., (HII) is the largest military shipbuilding company in the United States as well as a provider of professional services to partners in government and industry. HII was formed on March 31, 2011, as a divestiture from...亨廷顿英戈尔斯工业公司(HII)是美国最大的军用造船企业,同时为政府和行业合作伙伴提供专业服务。HII于2011年3月31日从诺斯罗普·格鲁曼公司剥离成立。
Cyclical周期股
Large cap大盘
$11B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望,直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$269.13
40.4% below 52-week high低于52周高点 40.4%
Market Cap市值
$11B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
17.5x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.69
Moves about 0.7x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
31
Depressed偏低
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
30th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.3% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | HII | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -5.9% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 4.4 points落后指数 4.4 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -9.4% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 10.0 points落后指数 10.0 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -31.5% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 36.2 points落后指数 36.2 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -36.3% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 44.1 points落后指数 44.1 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -22.5% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 31.6 points落后指数 31.6 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +7.2% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 12.2 points落后指数 12.2 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI(14)
31
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-9.9% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-22.0% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
30th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$269.10
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期
Earnings财务业绩
11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30
Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: -12.1% (20d)财报后漂移:-12.1%(20日)
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | HII | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) | 17.46x | 29.89 | 82% |
| P/B市净率 | 2.08x | 3.90 | 79% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.85x | 2.21 | 82% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 5.73% | 3.10 | 84% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 7.52% | 3.81 | 86% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 2.02% | 2.29 | 45% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 9.93x | 16.39 | 83% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 13.30x | 25.50 | 84% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 5.9%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -2.1%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
11.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
4.7%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.78 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.13 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $54.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年) | +0.3% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/7
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.6)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 82% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 82% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.69×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.7× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.7 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/7
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业(等权)」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场/成长beta体现,并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +11.4%空头仓位变动 +11.4%
Technical技术面
HII daily MACD crossed downHII 日线MACD下穿
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛,价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.87%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±6.42%
Call wall看涨密集区
$300
Put wall看跌密集区
$270
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-4.4%
Flow资金流向
$0M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 1 fresh positions; P/C 1.13; ~leans bearish (direction approx)成交权利金 $0M;0DTE占0%;1个新建仓;看跌看涨比 1.13;≈偏看跌/对冲(方向近似)
Skew: 偏斜:fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$13.2M net (0 buyers, 8 sellers)-$13.2M 净值(0 买家,8 卖家)
Signal History信号历史
DECLINE
DOWNTREND
Jul 17, 2026
HII daily MACD crossed downHII 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $269.13.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$269.13。
Jul 14, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A LOW下跌趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 13, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 9, 2026
HII broke down vs the marketHII 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $286.21.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$286.21。
Jul 2, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 29, 2026
HII printed a daily-cycle lowHII 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $277.39.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$277.39。
Jun 22, 2026
HII RSI reached oversoldHII RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $278.19.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$278.19。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.11
Value价值
+0.4
Quality质量
+0.2
Investment资本投入
+0.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.5
Low volatility低波动
+0.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.0
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.2
Company Profile公司档案
Huntington Ingalls Industries, Inc., (HII) is the largest military shipbuilding company in the United States as well as a provider of professional services to partners in government and industry. HII was formed on March 31, 2011, as a divestiture from...亨廷顿英戈尔斯工业公司(HII)是美国最大的军用造船企业,同时为政府和行业合作伙伴提供专业服务。HII于2011年3月31日从诺斯罗普·格鲁曼公司剥离成立。
Demand chain:需求链: Contracted bookings (RPO) accelerating (+9% YoY to ~$53B, 4.3× revenue) — signed demand locked in ahead of recognition已签约订单(RPO)加速(同比+9%,约 $53B,覆盖营收 4.3 倍)——已锁定、尚未确认的需求
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Receivables stretch
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析,覆盖所有标普500成分股。