Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 247.22.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 247.22 下方。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$277.66
10.4% below 52-week high低于52周高点 10.4%
Market Cap市值
$26B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
30.9x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.06
Moves about 0.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
60
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-23 (4d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
60th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
2.1% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | VRSN | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +2.8% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 4.3 points跑赢指数 4.3 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +4.8% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 4.2 points跑赢指数 4.2 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +1.6% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 3.1 points落后指数 3.1 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +12.0% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 4.2 points跑赢指数 4.2 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +16.2% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 7.1 points跑赢指数 7.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +0.1% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 19.3 points落后指数 19.3 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
60
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-0.4% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+8.7% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
60th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$265.55
Don't chase above不追高于
$277.70
Stop止损
$247.20
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望
Earnings财务业绩
4
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-23
Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | VRSN | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 30.90x | 40.17 | 62% |
| P/S市销率 | 15.40x | 4.85 | 11% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.24% | 2.19 | 68% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 4.19% | 3.05 | 65% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 3.45% | 2.16 | 69% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 21.88x | 29.30 | 61% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 23.89x | 30.46 | 61% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 5.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
-38.3%Return on Equity股本回报率
62.3%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.27 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.49 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $881.6M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $69.7M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -3.3% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 8/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (-4.6)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 50% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 50% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.06×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
8/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Technology (Equal-Weight) theme — #23 of 46 themes「信息技术（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 23 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -22.7%空头仓位变动 -22.7%
Technical技术面
UNCONFIRMED TURN → UPTREND未确认转向 → 上涨趋势
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.37%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±5.30%
Call wall看涨密集区
$290
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-1.6%
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$18.1M net (0 buyers, 4 sellers)-$18.1M 净值（0 买家，4 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett) | B | Holding持有 | 0.8% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 13, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → UPTREND未确认转向 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 7, 2026
VRSN daily MACD crossed upVRSN 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $266.78.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$266.78。
Jul 2, 2026
VRSN reclaimed its 200-day averageVRSN 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $256.43.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$256.43。
Jul 1, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 30, 2026
VRSN broke down vs the marketVRSN 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $251.56.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$251.56。
Jun 26, 2026
VRSN weekly MACD crossed downVRSN 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jun 26, 2026
VRSN StochRSI turned up from oversoldVRSN StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $255.62.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$255.62。
Jun 23, 2026
VRSN printed a daily-cycle lowVRSN 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $247.22.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$247.22。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.64
Value价值
-1.1
Quality质量
+3.0
Investment资本投入
+0.8
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.1
Low volatility低波动
+0.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+1.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
+2.5
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.1
Company Profile公司档案
Verisign, Inc.威瑞信公司。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Receivables stretch
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。