First Solar · Tech
FSLR
$211.99
First Solar, Inc. is an American publicly traded manufacturer of solar panels.FirstSolar,Inc.是一家美国公开交易的太阳能电池板制造商。
High-beta momentum高贝塔动量
Large cap大盘
$23B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 211.93.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 211.93 下方。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$211.99
33.4% below 52-week high低于52周高点 33.4%
Market Cap市值
$23B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
14.9x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.56
Moves about 1.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.6 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
34
Depressed偏低
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-30 (11d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
18th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
7.7% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | FSLR | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -7.0% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 5.5 points落后指数 5.5 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -16.8% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 17.4 points落后指数 17.4 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +11.3% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 6.6 points跑赢指数 6.6 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -13.0% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 20.8 points落后指数 20.8 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -22.7% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 31.8 points落后指数 31.8 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +22.2% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 2.8 points跑赢指数 2.8 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
34
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-15.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-9.9% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
18th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$205.50
Don't chase above不追高于
$212.00
Stop止损
$211.90
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望
Earnings财务业绩
11
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-30
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: +40.2% (20d)财报后漂移：+40.2%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | FSLR | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 14.89x | 40.17 | 88% |
| P/B市净率 | 2.39x | 5.85 | 80% |
| P/S市销率 | 4.36x | 4.85 | 53% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 6.72% | 2.19 | 90% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 5.22% | 3.05 | 71% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 19.16x | 30.46 | 68% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 14.0%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 30.7%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
16.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
11.5%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Current ratio流动比率 | 2.67 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $19.2M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.2% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 7/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (5.5)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 73% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 73% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.56×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.6 倍
Financial Health财务健康
7/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Strong financial health财务健康状况良好
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
News新闻
2 recent stories — mixed2 篇最新报道，多空参半
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Technology (Equal-Weight) theme — #23 of 46 themes「信息技术（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 23 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
FSLR weekly MACD crossed downFSLR 周线MACD下穿
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±4.77%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±10.66%
Call wall看涨密集区
$235
Put wall看跌密集区
$210
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-3.0%
Skew: 偏斜：fear
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$27.9M net (0 buyers, 13 sellers)-$27.9M 净值（0 买家，13 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polen Capital Management | B | trimtrim | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 17, 2026
FSLR weekly MACD crossed downFSLR 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 13, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 8, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 8, 2026
FSLR StochRSI turned up from oversoldFSLR StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $224.30.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$224.30。
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 1, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 1, 2026
FSLR lost its 200-day averageFSLR 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $232.08.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$232.08。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.23
Value价值
-0.0
Profitability盈利能力
-0.9
Quality质量
+0.8
Investment资本投入
-0.1
Low volatility低波动
-1.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.3
Company Profile公司档案
First Solar, Inc. is an American publicly traded manufacturer of solar panels.FirstSolar,Inc.是一家美国公开交易的太阳能电池板制造商。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
Recent News最新动态
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。