HP Inc. · Tech
HPQ
$24.84
HP Inc. is an American multinational information technology company with its headquarters in Palo Alto, California, that develops personal computers (PCs), printers and related supplies, as well as 3D printing services.HPInc.是一家美国跨国信息技术公司，总部位于加利福尼亚州帕洛阿尔托，开发个人电脑、打印机及相关耗材，以及3D打印服务。
Distressed困境股
Large cap大盘
$23B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 21.93.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 21.93 下方。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$24.84
14.3% below 52-week high低于52周高点 14.3%
Market Cap市值
$23B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
9.0x
40.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.78
Moves about 0.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
59
Neutral zone中性区域
Volatility Rank波动率分位
42th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
9.6% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | HPQ | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +2.6% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 4.1 points跑赢指数 4.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +7.2% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 6.6 points跑赢指数 6.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +24.9% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 20.2 points跑赢指数 20.2 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +23.9% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 16.1 points跑赢指数 16.1 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +14.1% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 5.0 points跑赢指数 5.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +4.2% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 15.2 points落后指数 15.2 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
59
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+5.6% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+11.9% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
42th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$23.70
Don't chase above不追高于
$24.84
Stop止损
$21.93
Bounce — turn not confirmed; wait反弹 — 转向未确认，先观望
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | HPQ | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 9.01x | 40.17 | 98% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.41x | 4.85 | 95% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 11.10% | 2.19 | 99% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 12.29% | 3.05 | 94% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 8.51% | 2.16 | 89% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 7.02x | 29.30 | 95% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 8.14x | 30.46 | 93% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -0.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 5.8%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
-330.2%Return on Equity股本回报率
6.1%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | 1.45 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 0.77 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $850.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $522.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -3.0% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.6)
Watch关注
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 96% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 96% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.78×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/9
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Technology (Equal-Weight) theme — #23 of 46 themes「信息技术（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 23 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.88%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±6.45%
Call wall看涨密集区
$27
Put wall看跌密集区
$23
Gamma flip伽玛翻转
$23
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-2.0%
Flow资金流向
$1M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 27 fresh positions; P/C 1.24; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $1M；0DTE占0%；27个新建仓；看跌看涨比 1.24；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$4.5M net (0 buyers, 4 sellers)-$4.5M 净值（0 买家，4 卖家）
Signal History信号历史
COUNTERTREND BOUNCE
UNCONFIRMED TURN
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 9, 2026
HPQ daily MACD crossed upHPQ 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $24.13.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$24.13。
Jul 7, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 7, 2026
HPQ StochRSI turned up from oversoldHPQ StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $22.96.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$22.96。
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A LOW → BOTTOMING接近低点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 6, 2026
HPQ reclaimed its 200-day averageHPQ 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $22.60.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$22.60。
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 2, 2026
HPQ printed a daily-cycle lowHPQ 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $21.93.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$21.93。
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A LOW → BOTTOMING接近低点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 30, 2026
HPQ lost its 200-day averageHPQ 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $21.94.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$21.94。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 93 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.25
Value价值
+0.5
Profitability盈利能力
-0.2
Quality质量
+0.1
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Shareholder payout股东回报
+1.1
Low volatility低波动
-0.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.6
Company Profile公司档案
HP Inc. is an American multinational information technology company with its headquarters in Palo Alto, California, that develops personal computers (PCs), printers and related supplies, as well as 3D printing services.HPInc.是一家美国跨国信息技术公司，总部位于加利福尼亚州帕洛阿尔托，开发个人电脑、打印机及相关耗材，以及3D打印服务。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。