VAC
Marriott Vacations Worldwide
·
$99.98
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
Terminal终端 ↗
Marriott Vacations Worldwide · Consumer Disc.
VAC
$99.98
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation is a pure-play public timeshare company. Formerly a division of Marriott International, Marriott Vacations Worldwide was established as a separate, publicly traded entity focusing primarily on vacation ownership in November 2011.MarriottVacationsWorldwideCorporation是一家纯度假所有权上市公司。前身为万豪国际集团的一个部门,于2011年11月独立上市,主要专注于度假所有权业务。
Speculative / unprofitable投机/未盈利
Mid cap中盘
$3B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高;等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (overbought (daily RSI 58, 3-day 73 & 已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成,目前价格已拉伸(已超买(日线 RSI 58、3 日 73 与周线 72))。不要追高;等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$99.98
3.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 3.0%
Market Cap市值
$3B
Normal volume正常成交量
Beta贝塔
1.56
Moves about 1.6x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.6 倍
RSI (14)RSI(14)
58
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-03 (15d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
41th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
7.9% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | VAC | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +1.7% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 3.2 points跑赢指数 3.2 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +6.4% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 5.8 points跑赢指数 5.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +34.7% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 30.0 points跑赢指数 30.0 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +70.7% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 62.9 points跑赢指数 62.9 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +73.7% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 64.6 points跑赢指数 64.6 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +31.0% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 11.6 points跑赢指数 11.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -15.3% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 84.7 points落后指数 84.7 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI(14)
58
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+12.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+47.5% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
41th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$98.72
Don't chase above不追高于
$99.98
Stop止损
$92.87
Topping — protect gains见顶 — 保护利润
Earnings财务业绩
15
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-03
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | VAC | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/B市净率 | 1.71x | 2.97 | 72% |
| P/S市销率 | 0.68x | 1.23 | 68% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | -9.03% | 4.53 | 5% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | -0.85% | 5.69 | 6% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.79% | 4.31 | 20% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 11.8%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
-15.5%Return on Equity股本回报率
-3.2%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM) | $61.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $38.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年) | -2.2% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/6
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 49% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 49% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.56×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.6× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.6 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/6
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
VAC took relative-strength leadershipVAC 取得相对强弱领先
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: +$7.3M net (10 buyers, 0 sellers)+$7.3M 净值(10 买家,0 卖家)
Signal History信号历史
TOP WATCH
NEARING A HIGH
Jul 15, 2026
VAC took relative-strength leadershipVAC 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $99.62.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$99.62。
Jul 13, 2026
VAC StochRSI turned up from oversoldVAC StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $97.65.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$97.65。
Jul 9, 2026
VAC took relative-strength leadershipVAC 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $98.81.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$98.81。
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
VAC daily MACD crossed downVAC 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $100.25.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$100.25。
Jun 26, 2026
VAC made a new 52-week highVAC 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $101.30.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$101.30。
Jun 26, 2026
VAC RSI reached overboughtVAC RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $101.30.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$101.30。
Jun 24, 2026
VAC made a new 52-week highVAC 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $99.15.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$99.15。
Jun 24, 2026
VAC RSI reached overboughtVAC RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $99.15.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度;仅作背景,单独不构成择时。$99.15。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.35
Value价值
-0.3
Quality质量
-0.5
Investment资本投入
+0.5
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.6
Low volatility低波动
-1.0
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.9
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.2
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.7
Company Profile公司档案
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation is a pure-play public timeshare company. Formerly a division of Marriott International, Marriott Vacations Worldwide was established as a separate, publicly traded entity focusing primarily on vacation ownership in November 2011.MarriottVacationsWorldwideCorporation是一家纯度假所有权上市公司。前身为万豪国际集团的一个部门,于2011年11月独立上市,主要专注于度假所有权业务。
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