Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~20 day(s) ago @ 135.67 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's m日线转向已经完成——低点于约 20 天前形成 @ 135.67，且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认，因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场，而非待触发信号：可在此建半仓，或等待周线转向。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$187.88
25.1% below 52-week high低于52周高点 25.1%
Market Cap市值
$4B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
28.3x
20.2x sector median
Beta贝塔
2.18
Moves about 2.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
69
Elevated偏高
Volatility Rank波动率分位
72th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
30.7% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | RH | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +13.6% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 15.1 points跑赢指数 15.1 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | +38.5% | +0.6% | Beat the index by 37.9 points跑赢指数 37.9 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +33.2% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 28.5 points跑赢指数 28.5 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -19.3% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 27.1 points落后指数 27.1 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -2.9% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 12.0 points落后指数 12.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -4.5% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 23.9 points落后指数 23.9 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | -49.1% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 118.5 points落后指数 118.5 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
69
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线
+24.9% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+14.3% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
72th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$184.25
Don't chase above不追高于
$190.80
Stop止损
$135.70
Cycle turn — awaiting confluence cross周期拐点 — 等待共振交叉确认
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | RH | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 28.33x | 20.23 | 28% |
| P/B市净率 | 58.35x | 2.97 | 0% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.53% | 4.53 | 36% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 7.14% | 5.69 | 66% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 6.52x | 11.48 | 82% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 14.01x | 16.53 | 63% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 5.4%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -7.0%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
205.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
2.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.08 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.19 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $43.9M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +0.5% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.4)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 44% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 44% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
2.18×
0.21×3×
Moves about 2.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$3.0M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$3.0M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duquesne Family Office (Druckenmiller) | C | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 15, 2026
RH RSI reached overboughtRH RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $190.26.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$190.26。
Jul 14, 2026
RH reclaimed its 200-day averageRH 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $174.55.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$174.55。
Jul 14, 2026
RH took relative-strength leadershipRH 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $174.55.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$174.55。
Jul 14, 2026
RH daily MACD crossed upRH 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $174.55.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$174.55。
Jul 13, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 13, 2026
RH lost its 200-day averageRH 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $161.82.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$161.82。
Jul 13, 2026
RH daily MACD crossed downRH 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $161.82.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$161.82。
Jul 10, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 9, 2026
RH reclaimed its 200-day averageRH 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $168.33.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$168.33。
Jul 9, 2026
RH took relative-strength leadershipRH 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $168.33.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$168.33。
Jul 8, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 7, 2026
RH lost its 200-day averageRH 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $163.70.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$163.70。
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Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.04
Value价值
-0.7
Profitability盈利能力
-0.0
Quality质量
+1.9
Investment资本投入
+0.1
Low volatility低波动
-1.6
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.8
Earnings quality盈利质量
+0.4
Short interest空头兴趣
-2.6
Company Profile公司档案
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。