USPH U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. · $73.56 Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势 Terminal终端 ↗

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U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. · Health Care

USPH

$73.56
Broken growth成长受损 Small cap小盘 $1B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Trend intact — hold. Late in the cycle, so don't add here; a pullback is due.趋势完好——持有。已处周期晚期，此处不宜加仓；回调即将到来。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$73.56
19.5% below 52-week high低于52周高点 19.5%
Market Cap市值
$1B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
28.2x
28.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.77
Moves about 0.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
61
Elevated偏高
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-05 (17d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
58th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
7.0% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 USPH S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +1.4% -1.5% Beat the index by 2.9 points跑赢指数 2.9 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +17.1% +0.6% Beat the index by 16.5 points跑赢指数 16.5 个百分点
3 Months近3月 -3.2% +4.7% Lagged the index by 7.9 points落后指数 7.9 个百分点
6 Months近6月 -13.3% +7.8% Lagged the index by 21.1 points落后指数 21.1 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -5.5% +9.1% Lagged the index by 14.6 points落后指数 14.6 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +0.6% +19.4% Lagged the index by 18.8 points落后指数 18.8 个百分点
3 Years近3年 -35.6% +69.4% Lagged the index by 105.0 points落后指数 105.0 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 61 Elevated偏高
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +12.1% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -3.1% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 58th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$70.96
Don't chase above不追高于
$73.56
Stop止损
$62.51
Hold — don't add here持有 — 此处不宜加仓

Earnings财务业绩

17
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-05
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 USPH Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 28.25x 28.92
53%
P/B市净率 2.35x 3.52
68%
P/S市销率 1.43x 3.02
76%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 3.54% 2.72
65%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 5.45% 3.94
69%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 2.94% 1.89
65%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 11.42x 18.21
83%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 18.34x 22.42
64%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$423.0M
2020
$495.0M
2021
$553.1M
2022
$604.8M
2023
$671.3M
2024
$781.0M
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 13.0%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$2.48
2020
$2.41
2021
$2.25
2022
$1.28
2023
$1.84
2024
$1.42
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -10.6%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$92.4M
2020
$68.2M
2021
$50.3M
2022
$72.7M
2023
$65.8M
2024
$61.0M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
19.2%
Operating margin营业利润率
11.1%
Net margin净利率
5.1%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
9.6%
8.3%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.3%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA1.16
Current ratio流动比率1.01
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$8.3M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+0.7%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: grey (2.7) Watch关注

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 70% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 70% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.77×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.8 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/8
Altman阿尔特曼: grey
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.2M net (1 buyers, 2 sellers)-$0.2M 净值（1 买家，2 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD. The weekly (investor-cycle) momentum just crossed UP while price holds its 10-day average — the start of a new multi-month up-leg. A daily-overbought print here is the launch thrust, not a top, so this is a HOLD / ride, not a take-profit. The daily can still dip to its 10-day average (normal) — but the bigger investor cycle is early, with room left. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell持有。周线（投资者周期）动量刚刚向上交叉，且价格守住 10 日均线——这是新的多月上行段的起点。此处日线超买只是启动推力、并非见顶，因此应持有 / 顺势，而非止盈。日线仍可能回踩 10 日均线（属正常）——但更大的投资者周期尚处早期，仍有空间。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
RALLY ON UPTREND
Jul 14, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 10, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 7, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 6, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 6, 2026
USPH RSI reached overboughtUSPH RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $73.38.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$73.38。
Jul 3, 2026
USPH weekly MACD crossed upUSPH 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jun 30, 2026
UPTREND → BUY ZONE上涨趋势 → 买入区
BUY买入

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 229 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.16
Value价值
-0.0
Profitability盈利能力
-1.1
Quality质量
+0.3
Investment资本投入
+0.3
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.3
Low volatility低波动
-0.2
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.1
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.3
Short interest空头兴趣
-0.4

Company Profile公司档案

Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Capital intensity rising
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