COLL Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. · $36.08 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

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Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. · Health Care

COLL

$36.08
Distressed困境股 Small cap小盘 $1B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Stretched/late — protect gains and don't start new positions; let the next low set up first.已拉伸／晚期——保护利润，不要新开仓；先等下一个低点构筑成形。
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Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$36.08
27.6% below 52-week high低于52周高点 27.6%
Market Cap市值
$1B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
18.2x
28.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.34
Moves about 0.3x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.3 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
54
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-06 (18d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
41th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
17.2% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 COLL S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 +2.4% -1.5% Beat the index by 3.9 points跑赢指数 3.9 个百分点
1 Month近1月 +7.1% +0.6% Beat the index by 6.5 points跑赢指数 6.5 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +4.9% +4.7% In line with the index与指数基本持平
6 Months近6月 -20.9% +7.8% Lagged the index by 28.7 points落后指数 28.7 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 -20.8% +9.1% Lagged the index by 29.9 points落后指数 29.9 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +11.8% +19.4% Lagged the index by 7.6 points落后指数 7.6 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +66.1% +69.4% Lagged the index by 3.3 points落后指数 3.3 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 54 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +3.7% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 -8.0% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 41th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$35.82
Don't chase above不追高于
$36.08
Stop止损
$33.45
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

18
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-06

Estimates being raised — 5 analysts预期上调 — 5 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 COLL Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 18.16x 28.92
79%
P/B市净率 3.79x 3.52
45%
P/S市销率 1.47x 3.02
74%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 5.51% 2.72
85%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 28.63% 3.94
100%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 2.19% 1.89
55%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 4.97x 18.21
98%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 3.49x 22.42
99%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$310.0M
2020
$276.9M
2021
$463.9M
2022
$566.8M
2023
$631.4M
2024
$780.6M
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 20.3%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$0.76
2020
$1.86
2021
$-0.74
2022
$1.29
2023
$1.86
2024
$1.73
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 17.9%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
$88.4M
2020
$101.6M
2021
$122.6M
2022
$274.3M
2023
$203.3M
2024
$327.6M
2025
Margins利润率
Gross margin毛利率
59.3%
Operating margin营业利润率
23.0%
Net margin净利率
8.1%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
42.2%
20.9%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.8%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-1.26
Current ratio流动比率1.57
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$41.9M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+0.9%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8 Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: distress (1.4) Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 79% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 79% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.34×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.3× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.3 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: distress
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$6.6M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$6.6M 净值（0 买家，5 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. Late in the daily cycle (day 31 of ~23-44) — odds favor a dip into the next cycle low from here even with the trend intact止盈。处于日线周期晚期（约 23-44 天中的第 31 天）——即便趋势完好，从此处概率上仍倾向于回落至下一个周期低点
TOP WATCH NEARING A HIGH
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 15, 2026
COLL StochRSI turned up from oversoldCOLL StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $36.72.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$36.72。
Jul 10, 2026
COLL daily MACD crossed downCOLL 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $35.23.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$35.23。
Jul 8, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 7, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 2, 2026
UPTREND → BUY ZONE上涨趋势 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jun 26, 2026
COLL weekly MACD crossed upCOLL 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jun 23, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 217 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.26
Value价值
+0.1
Profitability盈利能力
-0.2
Quality质量
+1.7
Investment资本投入
+0.5
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.5
Low volatility低波动
-0.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.7
Earnings quality盈利质量
+1.9
Short interest空头兴趣
-3.0

Company Profile公司档案

Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
  • Margin compression despite revenue growth
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