UFCS United Fire Group, Inc. · $51.09 Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤 Terminal终端 ↗

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United Fire Group, Inc. · Financials

UFCS

$51.09
Financial金融股 Small cap小盘 $1B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum has crosse筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且3 日/周线动量已向下交叉——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗ All coverage所有股票 Data through数据截至 2026-07-20 · regenerated nightly每日更新

Key Statistics关键统计

Price价格
$51.09
5.3% below 52-week high低于52周高点 5.3%
Market Cap市值
$1B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
11.0x
15.0x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.18
Moves about 0.2x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.2 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
54
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-08-04 (16d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
79th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
1.7% of float

Performance价格表现

Period周期 UFCS S&P 500vs Index对比指数
1 Week近1周 -1.1% -1.5% In line with the index与指数基本持平
1 Month近1月 +6.5% +0.6% Beat the index by 5.9 points跑赢指数 5.9 个百分点
3 Months近3月 +27.1% +4.7% Beat the index by 22.4 points跑赢指数 22.4 个百分点
6 Months近6月 +44.9% +7.8% Beat the index by 37.1 points跑赢指数 37.1 个百分点
Year to date年初至今 +44.3% +9.1% Beat the index by 35.2 points跑赢指数 35.2 个百分点
1 Year近1年 +88.4% +19.4% Beat the index by 69.0 points跑赢指数 69.0 个百分点
3 Years近3年 +138.3% +69.4% Beat the index by 68.9 points跑赢指数 68.9 个百分点

Technicals技术面

RSI (14)RSI（14） 54 Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线 +5.3% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线 +30.8% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位 79th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$50.00
Don't chase above不追高于
$51.09
Stop止损
$47.72
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤

Earnings财务业绩

16
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-08-04

Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师

Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线

Valuation估值

Multiple指标 UFCS Sector median行业中位 Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） 11.03x 14.99
83%
P/B市净率 1.39x 1.52
58%
P/S市销率 0.94x 2.87
88%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 9.06% 6.58
84%
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线

Financials财务数据

Revenue营业收入
$1.1B
2020
$1.1B
2021
$980.3M
2022
$1.1B
2023
$1.3B
2024
$1.4B
2025
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 5.3%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
$-4.50
2020
2021
2022
2023
$2.39
2024
$4.48
2025
Margins利润率
Net margin净利率
8.5%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
19.5%
12.6%Return on Equity股本回报率
3.1%Return on Assets资产回报率
Capital Allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$9.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+0.6%
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/6 Clean稳健

Snapshot Gauges综合指标

Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜
Cheaper than 76% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 76% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.18×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.2× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.2 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/6
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息

Why Is It Moving为何波动

Macro宏观 Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +57.6%空头仓位变动 +57.6%
Technical技术面 BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向

Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱

Insider activity内部人员活动: -$1.2M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$1.2M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）

Signal History信号历史

NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. Buyers rejected the 2026-06-11 low (swing low printed) but price hasn't reclaimed its 10-day average — first box ticked, not all买入预备。买方拒绝了 2026-06-11 的低点（摆动低点已现），但价格尚未收复 10 日均线——第一项条件达成，并非全部
TURN SIGNALED BOTTOMING
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 13, 2026
UFCS took relative-strength leadershipUFCS 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $52.45.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$52.45。
Jul 9, 2026
UFCS daily MACD crossed downUFCS 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $51.95.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$51.95。
Jul 1, 2026
UFCS made a new 52-week highUFCS 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $53.42.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$53.42。
Jun 26, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 26, 2026
UFCS made a new 52-week highUFCS 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $52.55.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$52.55。
Jun 26, 2026
UFCS RSI reached overboughtUFCS RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $52.55.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$52.55。
Jun 25, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UPTREND接近高点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 23, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 23, 2026
UFCS made a new 52-week highUFCS 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $50.24.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$50.24。
Jun 23, 2026
UFCS RSI reached overboughtUFCS RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $50.24.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$50.24。

Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 237 signals条信号

Factor Profile因子特征

Composite factor score综合因子得分: 0.31
Value价值
+1.0
Quality质量
-0.1
Investment资本投入
-0.1
Low volatility低波动
+0.4
Low market beta低市场敏感度
+0.9
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+1.1

Company Profile公司档案

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