Simpson Manufacturing · Industrials
SSD
$189.20
Simpson Manufacturing Company is a leading building materials manufacturer in the United States that produces structural connectors, fasteners, anchors, and products for new construction and retrofitting.SimpsonManufacturingCompany是美国领先的建筑材料制造商，生产用于新建和改建的结构连接件、紧固件、锚固件及相关产品。
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Mid cap中盘
$8B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum has crosse筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且3 日/周线动量已向下交叉——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$189.20
9.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 9.8%
Market Cap市值
$8B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
22.6x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
0.87
Moves about 0.9x the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.9 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
45
Neutral zone中性区域
Next Earnings下次财报
2026-07-27 (8d)
Volatility Rank波动率分位
79th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
3.4% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | SSD | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.2% | -1.5% | Beat the index by 1.7 points跑赢指数 1.7 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -1.2% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 1.8 points落后指数 1.8 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | +7.3% | +4.7% | Beat the index by 2.6 points跑赢指数 2.6 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +0.7% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 7.1 points落后指数 7.1 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +15.1% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 6.0 points跑赢指数 6.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +19.0% | +19.4% | In line with the index与指数基本持平 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +27.3% | +69.4% | Lagged the index by 42.1 points落后指数 42.1 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
45
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-1.2% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+4.9% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
79th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Buy zone买入区间
$185.00
Don't chase above不追高于
$189.20
Stop止损
$185.60
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Earnings财务业绩
8
days until next report天后公布财报
2026-07-27
Estimates being cut预期下调
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | SSD | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 22.62x | 29.89 | 70% |
| P/B市净率 | 3.85x | 3.90 | 52% |
| P/S市销率 | 3.35x | 2.21 | 35% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.42% | 3.10 | 73% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.81% | 3.81 | 50% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 2.15% | 2.29 | 46% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 14.12x | 16.39 | 63% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 26.23x | 25.50 | 46% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 13.0%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 14.1%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
17.0%Return on Equity股本回报率
11.2%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -0.13 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 3.54 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $120.0M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $23.0M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | -1.5% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 6/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (7.0)
Clean稳健
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理
Cheaper than 54% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 54% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
0.87×
0.21×3×
Moves about 0.9× the market波动幅度约为市场的 0.9 倍
Financial Health财务健康
6/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
SSD StochRSI turned up from oversoldSSD StochRSI自超卖区上行
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$0.5M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$0.5M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ValueAct Capital | A | Holding持有 | 4.2% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
TURN SIGNALED
BOTTOMING
Jul 16, 2026
SSD StochRSI turned up from oversoldSSD StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $193.80.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$193.80。
Jul 13, 2026
SSD broke down vs the marketSSD 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $185.60.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$185.60。
Jul 6, 2026
SSD daily MACD crossed downSSD 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $197.62.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$197.62。
Jul 1, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 30, 2026
UPTREND → BUY ZONE上涨趋势 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 25, 2026
SSD made a new 52-week highSSD 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $209.33.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$209.33。
Jun 24, 2026
SSD took relative-strength leadershipSSD 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $206.28.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$206.28。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 273 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.09
Value价值
-0.4
Profitability盈利能力
+0.2
Quality质量
-0.1
Investment资本投入
-0.2
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.5
Low volatility低波动
+0.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-0.0
Earnings quality盈利质量
-0.1
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.5
Company Profile公司档案
Simpson Manufacturing Company is a leading building materials manufacturer in the United States that produces structural connectors, fasteners, anchors, and products for new construction and retrofitting.SimpsonManufacturingCompany是美国领先的建筑材料制造商，生产用于新建和改建的结构连接件、紧固件、锚固件及相关产品。
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。