Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Strong name · wrong tape — wait for a base强势个股 · 趋势不利 — 等待筑底
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$551.26
31.0% below 52-week high低于52周高点 31.0%
Market Cap市值
$8B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
55.8x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
1.77
Moves about 1.8x the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.8 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
34
Depressed偏低
Volatility Rank波动率分位
87th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
6.5% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | AGX | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -12.5% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 11.0 points落后指数 11.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -23.4% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 24.0 points落后指数 24.0 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -7.7% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 12.4 points落后指数 12.4 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | +44.0% | +7.8% | Beat the index by 36.2 points跑赢指数 36.2 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | +69.5% | +9.1% | Beat the index by 60.4 points跑赢指数 60.4 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | +172.0% | +19.4% | Beat the index by 152.6 points跑赢指数 152.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +1347.7% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 1278.3 points跑赢指数 1278.3 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
34
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-19.0% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
+16.8% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
87th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$547.50
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being raised — 4 analysts预期上调 — 4 位分析师
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | AGX | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 55.82x | 29.89 | 16% |
| P/B市净率 | 16.64x | 3.90 | 7% |
| P/S市销率 | 8.14x | 2.21 | 3% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.79% | 3.10 | 24% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 5.34% | 3.81 | 70% |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.44% | 2.29 | 10% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 53.81x | 16.39 | 3% |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 18.72x | 25.50 | 67% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 19.2%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 45.2%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
29.8%Return on Equity股本回报率
11.6%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -2.48 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 1.59 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM） | $9.9M |
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $7.9M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +2.3% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 5/8
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (8.4)
Warning警示
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 20% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 20% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
1.77×
0.21×3×
Moves about 1.8× the market波动幅度约为市场的 1.8 倍
Financial Health财务健康
5/8
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Adequate financial health财务健康状况一般
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +41.5%空头仓位变动 +41.5%
Technical技术面
AGX weekly MACD crossed downAGX 周线MACD下穿
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$43.6M net (0 buyers, 7 sellers)-$43.6M 净值（0 买家，7 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lone Pine Capital | B | New position新建仓 | 1.7% | 2026-03-31 |
| Polen Capital Management | B | trimtrim | 0.1% | 2026-03-31 |
| Duquesne Family Office (Druckenmiller) | C | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
DECLINE
DOWNTREND
Jul 10, 2026
AGX weekly MACD crossed downAGX 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 6, 2026
AGX daily MACD crossed downAGX 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $725.23.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$725.23。
Jul 2, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 30, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 29, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jun 29, 2026
AGX made a new 52-week highAGX 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $791.56.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$791.56。
Jun 25, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 22, 2026
AGX made a new 52-week highAGX 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $790.00.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$790.00。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 277 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.70
Value价值
-0.9
Profitability盈利能力
-0.9
Quality质量
+3.0
Investment资本投入
-2.0
Shareholder payout股东回报
-0.9
Low volatility低波动
-2.5
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.2
Earnings quality盈利质量
+3.0
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.5
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Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。