KTOS
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions
·
$46.03
Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利
Terminal终端 ↗
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions · Industrials
KTOS
$46.03
Speculative / unprofitable投机／未盈利
Mid cap中盘
$8B
Engine stance引擎立场2026-07-20
Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Key Statistics关键统计
Price价格
$46.03
64.8% below 52-week high低于52周高点 64.8%
Market Cap市值
$8B
Normal volume正常成交量
P/E Ratio市盈率
353.3x
29.9x sector median
Beta贝塔
2.13
Moves about 2.1x the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.1 倍
RSI (14)RSI（14）
38
Depressed偏低
Volatility Rank波动率分位
43th pctile
hist. vol. percentile历史波动率分位数
Short Interest空头兴趣
6.0% of float
Performance价格表现
| Period周期 | KTOS | S&P 500 | vs Index对比指数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -4.5% | -1.5% | Lagged the index by 3.0 points落后指数 3.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Month近1月 | -18.0% | +0.6% | Lagged the index by 18.6 points落后指数 18.6 个百分点 |
| 3 Months近3月 | -35.2% | +4.7% | Lagged the index by 39.9 points落后指数 39.9 个百分点 |
| 6 Months近6月 | -64.8% | +7.8% | Lagged the index by 72.6 points落后指数 72.6 个百分点 |
| Year to date年初至今 | -41.9% | +9.1% | Lagged the index by 51.0 points落后指数 51.0 个百分点 |
| 1 Year近1年 | -21.9% | +19.4% | Lagged the index by 41.3 points落后指数 41.3 个百分点 |
| 3 Years近3年 | +241.7% | +69.4% | Beat the index by 172.3 points跑赢指数 172.3 个百分点 |
Technicals技术面
RSI (14)RSI（14）
38
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day相对50日均线
-15.5% vs 50-day avg
vs 200-day相对200日均线
-40.7% vs 200-day avg
Volatility rank波动率分位
43th percentile 分位
Engine reference levels — not advice引擎参考水平 — 非投资建议
Stop止损
$46.03
Blocked — failed cycle受阻 — 失败周期
Earnings财务业绩
Post-earnings drift: +8.0% (20d)财报后漂移：+8.0%（20日）
Earnings call transcripts — coming soon财报电话会议记录 — 即将上线
Valuation估值
| Multiple指标 | KTOS | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 353.33x | 29.89 | 0% |
| P/B市净率 | 3.89x | 3.90 | 50% |
| P/S市销率 | 5.77x | 2.21 | 12% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 0.28% | 3.10 | 10% |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | -1.77% | 3.81 | 5% |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 99.21x | 16.39 | 1% |
Analyst price targets — coming soon分析师目标价 — 即将上线
Financials财务数据
Revenue营业收入
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: 12.5%
Earnings Per Share每股收益
5yr CAGR5年复合增速: -28.0%
Free Cash Flow自由现金流
Margins利润率
1.1%Return on Equity股本回报率
0.9%Return on Assets资产回报率
Leverage杠杆
| Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA | -7.71 |
| Current ratio流动比率 | 4.06 |
Capital Allocation资本配置
| Stock-based comp股权薪酬 | $35.5M |
| Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年） | +11.8% |
Piotroski皮奥特罗斯基 4/9
Altman Z阿尔特曼Z: safe (10.6)
Warning警示
Snapshot Gauges综合指标
Valuation vs Sector估值相对行业
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Cheaper than 14% of its sector on blended multiples综合估值倍数低于行业内 14% 的公司
Beta市场敏感度
2.13×
0.21×3×
Moves about 2.1× the market波动幅度约为市场的 2.1 倍
Financial Health财务健康
4/9
Altman阿尔特曼: safe
Weak financial health财务健康状况偏弱
Dividend分红
—
Does not pay a dividend不派发股息
Why Is It Moving为何波动
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Defense & Aerospace theme — #39 of 46 themes「国防与航空航天」主题 — 46 个主题中第 39 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -30.6%空头仓位变动 -30.6%
Technical技术面
KTOS made a new 52-week lowKTOS 创52周新低
Options Positioning期权持仓
Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±4.93%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±11.01%
Call wall看涨密集区
$48
Put wall看跌密集区
$42
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.9%
Flow资金流向
$2M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 24 fresh positions; P/C 0.42; net new CALL positioning (bullish lean) (ΔOI +5,085); ~leans bearish/hedging (direction approx)成交权利金 $2M；0DTE占0%；24个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.42；净新增看涨持仓（偏多）（ΔOI +5,085）；≈偏看跌/对冲（方向近似）
Skew: 偏斜：balanced
Ownership & Smart Money持仓与聪明钱
Insider activity内部人员活动: -$101.0M net (0 buyers, 14 sellers)-$101.0M 净值（0 买家，14 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Activity动作 | % of portfolio组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soros Fund Management | B | New position新建仓 | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
| Polen Capital Management | B | Adding加仓 | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal History信号历史
DECLINE
DOWNTREND
Jul 17, 2026
KTOS made a new 52-week lowKTOS 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $46.03.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$46.03。
Jul 17, 2026
KTOS daily MACD crossed downKTOS 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $46.03.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$46.03。
Jul 14, 2026
KTOS daily MACD crossed upKTOS 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $50.36.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$50.36。
Jul 13, 2026
KTOS daily MACD crossed downKTOS 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $46.96.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$46.96。
Jul 10, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A LOW下跌趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 9, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 7, 2026
KTOS broke down vs the marketKTOS 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $50.34.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$50.34。
Jul 2, 2026
KTOS daily MACD crossed upKTOS 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $55.35.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$55.35。
Showing last 15 of显示最近15条，共 238 signals条信号
Factor Profile因子特征
Composite factor score综合因子得分: -0.99
Value价值
-0.8
Profitability盈利能力
-1.1
Quality质量
+0.1
Investment资本投入
-1.1
Low volatility低波动
-2.1
Low market beta低市场敏感度
-1.7
Earnings quality盈利质量
-1.3
Short interest空头兴趣
+0.9
Company Profile公司档案
Demand chain:需求链： Contracted bookings (RPO) decelerating (+9% YoY to ~$2B, 1.2× revenue) — signed demand locked in ahead of recognition已签约订单（RPO）增速放缓（同比+9%，约 $2B，覆盖营收 1.2 倍）——已锁定、尚未确认的需求
Watch items — what could change the thesis关注项 — 可能改变论点的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Receivables stretch
- Capital intensity rising
Get the full picture获取完整视图
Nightly signals, options flow, and factor analysis across all S&P 500 names.每日更新的信号、期权资金流向和因子分析，覆盖所有标普500成分股。